I was very happy with research yesterday. Again, entering the market at halftime in the Spain match proved profitable. Laying the 0-0, and for those a tad more speculative, backing Spain at better odds than pre match, would have won thanks to Jesus!
I was bang on with the Irish. They played with pride, and were as stubborn as I expected them to have been in the first 2 matches. I nailed the 2-0 correct score too, so well chuffed.
7.45pm – England v Ukraine – 2.16 home – the Rooney question needs answering. Do you tinker with a team with spirit and performances to match? Me? I would not include Rooney.
It’s a toughie. I certainly cannot see England beaten in the 90 minutes and I called the Ukraine right last time i.e. that Sheva had had his day in the sun. Ukraine were found out when their opponents were upped in class and this should be repeated today.
Laying Ukraine is the starting point for me. England continue to score 1st half goals and I correctly predicted that last match (23rd minute Carroll Vorderman header).
Can England continue to breakthrough in the first half? If you think so, then back them (perhaps delay entry for bigger prices).
It is hard to get an angle in, as I say, with the Rooney question. Now back from getting a haircut from Stevie Wonder, will his inclusion spoil the dynamic of the team?
745pm – Sweden v France – 1.81 away – about right. Note though that England and France only need to draw to be assured of 1st and 2nd place. Bear that in mind. Will my old adage that teams that do not need to win, rarely do, be realised?
Sweden have conceded 2 and 3 already this tournament – therein lies the weakness.France have conceded 1.
Perhaps the value is in a lay multiple? Lay Sweden and Ukraine on Betfair multiples in an accumulator? That would bump up the odds.
France are unlikely to concede 2 , as England have, and they are on a 22 match unbeaten run. The question is how to attack this match (hence the lay multiple). Sweden are 5.5 to lay which would incur largish liabilities.
So, do note that both England and France are happy with draws.
For me, the lay multiple of Sweden and Ukraine pays out a pitiful 1.56 but should be successful and it covers the draw.
England a watching brief for the first few moments if Rooney is playing, just to see that the team remains fluid?