1245pm – Sunderland v West Brom – 2.54 home
HEAD TO HEADS
West Brom have tended to score plenty in head to heads, scoring 3 and 2 away in last 2 .
LEAGUE POSITION – 15th v 4th.
HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Sunderland
RECENT HOME FORM – DWDL – unable to score more than 1 goal.
RECENT FORM OVERALL – DDDDWLDDLLW – rather unsuspected 3 goal haul last time out care of a red card for Fulham. Sunderland are yet to lay the top 10 at home.
GOAL TRENDS – 100% unders at home. Have only scored one and conceded 1 in the first half at home.
STREAKS – no strong streaks.
AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team – West Brom
RECENT AWAY FORM – DLDLW – guess how WBA are 4th. It’s not their away form!They have beaten 16th and drawn with 18th away from home. How will they fare against 15th.
RECENT OVERALL FORM – WDWLWDWLLWWW – how galvanised will WBA be with 3 consecutive wins 2-0, 1-2, 2-1?
GOAL TRENDS – 60% overs away from home. No clean sheets away. West Brom have not scored away in the first 1/2 hour of matches
STREAKS – 6 overall without a draw. Have scored in last 8 overall.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – I cannot fathom the odds for Sunderland here. I would have thought West Brom would be favourites. The Sunderland win against Fulham was care of an important red card. West Brom have scored plenty in head to heads. They have scored 2 in last 3 matches. They do though concede away.
have Sunderland suddenly found their goalscoring touch? I’m not sure. 3 goals against 10 men is an anomoly. They otherwise have trouble scoring. Keep Fletcher quiet and Sunderland could be blunted. there are easier matches today.
230pm – B Munich v Hannover – 1.18 home
HEAD TO HEADS
Bayern tend to win at home but struggle away.
LEAGUE POSITION – 1st v 6th
HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team – B Munich
RECENT HOME FORM – WWWWLW – loss v 5th , and now playing 6th – vulnerable? The odds suggest not.
RECENT FORM OVERALL – WWWWWWWWLWWD – the recent draw was away and was not a surprise as Nurnberg have been strong at home against Bayern.. Wins against 2nd away, 3rd at home, and 7th away all 2-0 wins for Bayern.
GOAL TRENDS – 67% overs at home. Average 2.83 scored and 0.67 conceded. Bayern have only conceded 2 in the first half and 2 in the 2nd half. They have scored 4 in the first 1/4 hour before the 1st half and 5 in the first 1/4 hour of the 2nd half.. Bayern lead at half time in 83% of home matches.
STREAKS – have scored in last 12. 6 at home without a draw.
AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Hannover
RECENT AWAY FORM- WLLLW – like Bayern at home, hannover are avoiding draws away.
RECENT OVERALL FORM – DWWLWLDLLWWL – inconsistent. Defeats against 3rd, 9th and 14th and wins against 12th and 13th. Have drawn at home v 2nd and 4th and 3-1 loss to Frankfurt in 3rd.
GOAL TRENDS – 80% overs away fits in perfectly with bayern.. Tend to concede most goals away in 2nd half.. 75% overs all season.
STREAKS – 5 away without a draw. Have scored in last 6 overall .
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – both sides are congruent as far as avoiding draws and over 2.5 goals percentages is concerned. What do we make of bayern’s 1-2 loss to 5th place at home and Hannover’s 3-1 defeat to 3rd place? Hannover have only played one of top 8 away. Bayern have tended to win at home in head to heads. THey are priced to score 3/4 goals as these odds would suggest.
230pm – Mainz v Dortmund – 1.7 away
HEAD TO HEADS
LEAGUE POSITION – 8th v 4th
HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Mainz
RECENT HOME FORM – LWWWW – explains the 1.7 quote for Dortmund, which I suggest hints at a possibility for both sides to score.Mainz’s home form may look impressive but exclusively they have been playing against the current bottom 5.
RECENT FORM OVERALL – DLLWLWWDWLWL – last 4 defeats were away from home. Have lost 3-0 and 3-1 away to 1st and 2nd – a cue for today despite being at home?
GOAL TRENDS – 40% overs at home. Conceded an average 0.4 at home but remember that it is exclusively against current bottom 5. Have only conceded 1 in the first half.
STREAKS – 4 match winning streak at home. No draw in 5 at home.
AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Dortmund
RECENT AWAY FORM – DLDDWW – no win yet away v top 9, 2 draws and a 3-2 loss. 2 consecutive away wins came against 10th and 18th.
RECENT OVERALL FORM – WDWLDWDLWDWW – strong recent form. Only 2 losses this season, one was against 2nd in the league most recently.
GOAL TRENDS – 50/50 overs away. Have scored in all away matches.
STREAKS – have scored in last 6 away
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – this is tricky. Mainz look to be in a false position. At home, they have won 4 and lost 1 exclusively against current bottom 5 sides, so are yet to play the “contenders” at home. They may be found out today. Dortmund are finding form with 3 wins in last 4 and 2 consecutive away wins. They have only lost 1 away and only lost 1 of last 8 matches. This is another test for my theory regarding 1.7 ish away sides. Likely 1-1 with away side winning 1-2 if indeed they go on to win.
The question mark hangs over this match because Mainz at home are yet to venture further than bottom 5 sides.
230pm – Schalke v Eintracht Frankfurt – 1.55 home
HEAD TO HEADS
LEAGUE POSITION – 2nd v 3rd – same points.
HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Schalke
RECENT HOME FORM – WLWWWW – no draw at home and only one defeat v bayern. – that match with bayern was the only v top 6 at home, so how will they cope with 3rd.
RECENT FORM OVERALL – DWWLWDWWWLWL – 2 losses in last 3 were away from home against 5th and 15th . Only 2 draws all season
GOAL TRENDS – 67% overs at home. 2 scored and 0.67 conceded on average at home. Have only conceded 1 goal in the first half at home this season.
STREAKS – 6 at home without a draw. 4 match winning streak
AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Eintracht Frankfurt
RECENT AWAY FORM – WWLLL – no draw away contrasts with no draw at home for Schalke.Defeats against 1st, 11th and 12th , conceding 2 on each occasion
RECENT OVERALL FORM – WWWWDWLWLDLW – Only 2 wins in last 6 matches for Frankfurt could put a top 5 place in jeopardy. All 3 wins have come away from home. and recently.
GOAL TRENDS – 60% overs away from home , and both teams have only failed to score in 2 matches this season.
STREAKS – have conceded in last 10 matches overall. No draw in 5 away,
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – the lack of a draw pervades these 2 .2nd v 3rd is a bit too tight to be confident .Schalke have won the last 3 head to heads. Goals trend points to overs. It might be a good time to stick with Schalke not losing as Frankfurt have lost last 3 away now, but I remind you the lack of draw is noticeable for both sides.
3pm – Everton v Norwich – 1.55 home
HEAD TO HEADS
Only 2 really recent relevant head to heads have seen 2 score draws.
LEAGUE POSITION – 5th v 13th
HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Everton
RECENT HOME FORM – WDWDW – 2-2 draws against 11th and 12th and playing 13th today. Just a coincidence? The 4 home matches against 11th and lower saw Everton score 2+ in each match. 1.55 suggests a continuation of this
RECENT FORM OVERALL – WWLDWWDDDDWL – recent defeat was away to reading and was after Everton scored first and Reading won with a penalty. In real terms, only 1 win in last 6 for Everton suggests defence needs tightening, particularly with 3 2-2 scorelines and a 1-1.
GOAL TRENDS – 80% overs at home down to the ability to get 2 minimum against lower sides. Everton have scored in all at home. 8 of last 9 matches over 2.5 goals, the exception was a 1-1. Everton have scored and conceded in their last 7 matches. This makes life extremely difficult re getting the 3 points.
STREAKS – 5 at home without defeat. Have scored in last 5 at home and conceded in last 4 at home.
AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Norwich
RECENT AWAY FORM – LDLLDD – no win away but stemmed the tide with 2 draws recently v Villa and Reading. Against top 10 away, lost 4-1 away to Chelsea, drew 1-1 v 8th place Spurs, and lost 5-0 away to 9th placed Fulham. A real trouble scoring.
RECENT OVERALL FORM – LDDDLLLWDWDW – Hughton has really nailed the defending but Norwich are not scoring more than 1 . This means the defence needs to be tight, as inevitably the scorelines will be 1-0, 0-0, 0-1, 1-1 if that defence holds firm and if Norwich continue a barren spell infront of goal.
GOAL TRENDS – 33% overs away from home. Average 0.5 scored away and 0.75 scored all season per match. Whenever it’s under 1, it’s poor form.
STREAKS – 6 away without a win.. 5 overall without defeat. No goal conceded in 3 overall.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – Everton are having trouble keeping a clean sheet, having scored and conceded in their last 7 matches. They have scored 2 goals though with regularity against 11th and lower at home. Looking at Norwich, defence is the key. Their objective? Keep a clean sheet, nick a goal ( they seem incapable of scoring 2). this suggests a 2-1 home win ? What do you think? There may be a delay in the goalscoring given Norwich must be confident in defence so I would hold on if 0-0 and enter the goals market. Norwich look layable, but the odds are a tad high for the lay, simply because they cannot score more than 1 goal.
3pm – Man Utd v QPR – 1.19 home
HEAD TO HEADS
LEAGUE POSITION – 2nd v 20th
HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Man Utd
RECENT HOME FORM – WWLWW – defeat 2-3 v Spurs. 3-4-2-4-2 scored at home by United. They have conceded in 4 home matches.
RECENT FORM OVERALL – LWWWWLWWWWWL – not a draw in sight. 2 recent defeats both came pre Champions League – coincidence? United have only failed to score in 2 matches, both away from home.
GOAL TRENDS – 100% overs at home, scoring in all home matches. 3 goal average at home.
STREAKS – 12 without a draw. Have scored in 5 at home. Have conceded in last 5 overall.
AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team – QPR – Sparky has been sacked so this could be a rudderless ship or an unexpected positive reaction?
RECENT AWAY FORM – DLLLLL – no win. Defence the strength in last 2 away matches. 2 1-0 defeats to Arsenal and Stoke care of 84th and 52nd minute goals. Have lost away to 1st, 4th, 6th and 8th, conceding 3 and 3 against 1st and 4th. Not looking good against a UNited averaging 3 goals per home match.
RECENT OVERALL FORM – LDLDLLLDLDLL – no win this season. This will end eventually but today?
GOAL TRENDS – 50/50 overs away and all season so take our cues from UNited?No clean sheets away from home. So if QPR adopt the rear guard action as they did against Arsenal and Stoke, then expect United to score eventually. The opponents have scored first in 83% of away matches.
STREAKS – no win in 12. Have conceded in last 8
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – looks a bit obvious does it not? I would personally back 0-1 QPR win as an insurance bet incase we get that rearguard action and it’s QPR that scores. This is highly unlikely. United not scoring in 2 consecutive matches? A return to the Premiership side this week after the “pre Champions League” team of last week.. Nani , Vidic and Kagawa absent. Rooney back? The odds as you know suggest 3/4 goals for United.
3pm – Stoke v Fulham – 2.22 home
HEAD TO HEADS
LEAGUE POSITION – 14th v 9th
HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Stoke
RECENT HOME FORM
RECENT FORM OVERALL
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Fulham
RECENT AWAY FORM
RECENT OVERALL FORM
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
3pm – Wigan v Reading – 1.95 home
HEAD TO HEADS
LEAGUE POSITION – 16th v 17th – Reading have a game in hand.
HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Wigan
RECENT HOME FORM
RECENT FORM OVERALL
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Reading
RECENT AWAY FORM
RECENT OVERALL FORM
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
3pm – Celtic v Inverness CT – 1.24 home
HEAD TO HEADS
Celtic have won last 2 head to heads at home without conceding and won the last 5 head to heads, keeping clean sheets in 4 of those matches
LEAGUE POSITION – 1st v 7th – Celtic have a game in hand and are 1 point ahead at the top of the league.
HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Celtic
RECENT HOME FORM – WDWWLD – are Celtic vulnerable? No win in 2 at home. This cannot continue for the Bhoys – perhaps it’ll do Celtic backers a favour? Celtic have not scored more than 1 in their last 3 home matches, and you see the result.
RECENT FORM OVERALL – WDWDLWWWWLDDW – only 1 win in last 4 and were quite impressive away to Aberdeen lately. I saw a little of the match. Celtic ended their concession of a goals in 3 matches with a clean sheet latest
GOAL TRENDS – 17% overs at home. Down to a poor scoring percentage. CEltic have conceded only 1 in the first half at home. CEltic score first in 83% of home matches.
STREAKS – no strong streaks.
AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Inverness
RECENT AWAY FORM – DDLDWW – interesting away form for Caley. 2-2-1-2-4-2 scored away this season. Good stuff from Mr Butcher and co.
RECENT OVERALL FORM – DDDLLDDWWWDWDL – recent heavy loss to Motherwell at home, and Motherwell was the team which beat Caley away. MOtherwell are 4th.
GOAL TRENDS – CAley have scored in all matches this season. Caley have kept only 1 clean sheet this season. 100% overs away. Scoring and conceding in all away matches.
STREAKS – have scored and conceded in last 6 away. Have scored in last 14 overall and conceded in the last 6 away.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – first thing to note, caley can score up to 2 away. They tend to score and concede. No win in 2 at home could work in Celtic backer’s favours . Note Caley lost heavily against Motherwell home and away. They are 4th. Celtic have won the home encounters v Caley without conceding but are poor thus far this season.
goals trends are incongruous. Both teams could score here. If Caley score first, as they could, I would hope Celtic get back on parity. They cannot go winless a 3rd consecutive home match.
4pm – Paris St-G v ESTAC Troyes – 1.21 home
HEAD TO HEADS
LEAGUE POSITION – 3rd v 19th – it’s tight at the top so matches PSG are priced to win, playing at home, must be won.
HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team – PSG
RECENT HOME FORM
RECENT FORM OVERALL
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Troyes
RECENT AWAY FORM
RECENT OVERALL FORM
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
5pm – Elazigspor v Galatasaray – 1.46 away
HEAD TO HEADS
LEAGUE POSITION – 18th v 1st – you’d have thought gala would be shorter – no head to heads of recent relevance.
HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Elazigspor
RECENT HOME FORM
RECENT FORM OVERALL
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team – galatasary
RECENT AWAY FORM
RECENT OVERALL FORM
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
5pm – Beerschot v Anderlecht – 1.62 away
HEAD TO HEADS
LEAGUE POSITION – 12th v 1st
HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Beerschot
RECENT HOME FORM
RECENT FORM OVERALL
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Anderlecht
RECENT AWAY FORM
RECENT OVERALL FORM
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
530pm – Aston Villa v Arsenal – 1.77 away
HEAD TO HEADS
Arsenal have won the last 3 head to heads, only one of those away. Do remember we are post Summer transfer window and Arsenal have made some superb signings, and giroud, who I have rubbished, is now scoring.
LEAGUE POSITION – 18th v 6th
HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Aston Villa – Darren Bent, N’Zogbia,, Dunne and Gardner amongst the absentees for villa.
RECENT HOME FORM – LWDDL – defeats against 2nd and 5th. . Sole win was against Swansea.
RECENT FORM OVERALL – LLDWLDLLDWLL – only 2 wins this season , one against Swansea and the other against Sunderland. 2 most recent defeats against Man Utd and Man City, conceding a total of 8 goals. 6 losses and a draw against top 9 .
GOAL TRENDS – 40% overs at home. Have scored in all home matches.
STREAKS – have scored in 5 at home.
AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team – arsenal
RECENT AWAY FORM – DWDWLL – 2 away defeats now to Norwich and Man Utd. Arsenal have not played the bottom 6 away just yet.
RECENT OVERALL FORM – DDWWDLWLWLDW – Arsenal have lost against 2nd and 3rd and got caught with their pants down against Norwich.. Against 13th and 14th, Arsenal have losst 1-0 and drawn 0-0 away.
GOAL TRENDS – 33% overs away from home. arsenal have not scored in the first 1/2 hour away from home. They have scored 4 in the last 1/4 hour away so expect a late surprise?
STREAKS – have scored in last 4 and conceded in last 3. The opponent has scored in 2/3rd of Arsenal’s away matches.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – Villa are tough to read. You feel they will improve at some stage but they are having trouble winning at home. 2 recent defeats came against both Manchester Clubs, conceding 8 in total. An Arsenal clicking into gear could add to the misery. It’s one of those prices. A 1.77 side away, suggests a possibility both sides will score, and the away team, if winning, could win 1-2, something like that. This is the first meeting between these 2 since the transfer window and with Giroud now scoring it must be advantage Arsenal particularly with Darren Bent absent
530pm – Austria Vienna v Mattersburg – 1.28 home
HEAD TO HEADS
LEAGUE POSITION – 1st v8th
HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team – austria vienna
RECENT HOME FORM
RECENT FORM OVERALL
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Mattersburg
RECENT AWAY FORM
RECENT OVERALL FORM
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
7pm – Malaga v Valencia – 2.14 home
HEAD TO HEADS
LEAGUE POSITION – 5th v 8th
HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Malaga
RECENT HOME FORM
RECENT FORM OVERALL
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Valencia
RECENT AWAY FORM
RECENT OVERALL FORM
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
7pm – Villarreal v Lugo – 1.48 home
HEAD TO HEADS
new head to heads
LEAGUE POSITION – 4th v 16th
HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Villareal
RECENT HOME FORM
RECENT FORM OVERALL
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Lugo
RECENT AWAY FORM
RECENT OVERALL FORM
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
830pm – Benfica v Olhanense – 1.22 home
HEAD TO HEADS
LEAGUE POSITION – 2nd v 9th
HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Benfica
RECENT HOME FORM
RECENT FORM OVERALL
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team – olhanense
RECENT AWAY FORM
RECENT OVERALL FORM
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
9pm – Betis v Real Madrid – 1.3 away
HEAD TO HEADS
LEAGUE POSITION – 6th v 3rd
HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Betis
RECENT HOME FORM
RECENT FORM OVERALL
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Real Madrid
RECENT AWAY FORM
RECENT OVERALL FORM
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS