Some interesting results yesterday which ended sequences – Barca won , after 2 winless, Lille won away after a run of away draws .
Yet again in the African Cup of NAtions, we got some poor scorelines, 1-0 and 0-0. When is it going to come to life? defensive tactics are stifling the early matches.
These 2 have only met twice, latterly when Nigeria won 2-0 in a friendly. No win in 6 for Zambia, albeit all bar one was a friendly. 3 consecutive draws, and a 1-1 in the ACN. If we take these friendlies as accurate, then Zambia are having trouble scoring – 0-0-0-0-1 last 5 matches.
Superb unbeaten streak in 2012 saw them win the competition.
Nigeria are now unbeaten in their last 9 matches, a smattering of friendlies and competitive matches. 4 draws in last 6 equally as tentative as Zambia. A 1-1 opening match – possible win scuppered by 90th minute consolation. So it would seem we have 2 strongly defensive sides looking to nick a 1-0 . Zambia tried it first match, scored 1st, but conceded. Nigeria tried it first match, scored first then conceded 90th minute.
Nigeria were last in the competition 2010 so their form then might not be accurate.
This ACN looks like continuing being a drab defensive affair with these 2 if the form is accurate ( cue Keeganesque 5-4 thriller – my team Zambia winning naturally!).
Will we get mileage as traders in the 1-1 . If either team scores first, the trade is still alive.
You get the feeling that both teams are set up to nick that 1-0.
6pm – Burkina Faso v Ethiopia – 1.97 home – another odds on shot today, as rare as hen’s teeth in this ACN. I believe Ghana were odds on yesterday and won 1-0, Ivorians were 1.32 and won 2-1 with a very late goal. So odds ons are having a good time of it, and Burkina are JUST odds on.
Unbeaten in 6 and very lucky to nick a 90th minute 1-1 draw with Nigeria, Burkina are another side struggling to score against the better African sides without losing. 1-0-0-3 ( Swaziland),-1 (90th minute).
burkina have a dismal record in the ACN , having last won a match in February 1998.
Why are they odds on ? Is Micheal Buerk playing up front for Ethiopia? Ethiopia have scored and conceded in their last 3, and a good 1-1 against current champs Zambia in their opening match.
These 2 last met in 2000 .
This is another toughie. I cannot see why Burkina are odds on ( albeit only just) given their dismal record in this competition. It looks, though, like Ethiopia’s first venture into the ACN according to soccerway. If Burkina continue their ACN record, then they will not win, but could draw. Dare we lay them at odds on? How trustworthy are Ethiopia ? They must be heartened by that 1-1 with Zambia?
HEAD TO HEADS
|Sun||04/11/12||ERE||AZ||1 – 2||VVV||View events||More info|
|Sun||22/04/12||ERE||AZ||2 – 1||VVV||View events||More info|
|Sun||02/10/11||ERE||VVV||1 – 3||AZ||View events||More info|
|Sat||29/01/11||ERE||AZ||6 – 1||VVV||View events||More info|
|Sat||16/10/10||ERE||VVV||0 – 1||AZ||View events||More info|
|Sat||20/02/10||ERE||VVV||3 – 3||AZ||View events||More info|
|Sat||28/11/09||ERE||AZ||2 – 0||VVV|
730pm – Dortmund v Nurnberg – 1.23 home
HEAD TO HEADS
|Sat||01/09/12||BUN||Nürnberg||1 – 1||Borussia Dortmund||View events||More info|
|Sat||21/07/12||CLF||Nürnberg||4 – 2||Borussia Dortmund||More info|
|Fri||03/02/12||BUN||Nürnberg||0 – 2||Borussia Dortmund||View events||More info|
|Sat||20/08/11||BUN||Borussia Dortmund||2 – 0||Nürnberg||View events||More info|
|Sat||30/04/11||BUN||Borussia Dortmund||2 – 0||Nürnberg||View events||More info|
|Sun||05/12/10||BUN||Nürnberg||0 – 2||Borussia Dortmund||View events||More info|
|Sat||24/04/10||BUN||Nürnberg||2 – 3||Borussia Dortmund|
745pm – Millwall v Aston Villa – 2.52 home – we are Millwall, and no one likes us, and we don’t care. A very warm welcome to Aston Villa is assured at the Den this evening, and surely home support will galvanise the Lions, innit?
Aston Villa have scored and conceded in 7 of their last 9 FA Cup matches, only unable to score against City and Chelsea .
Villa away also score and concede. Millwall at home have only lost to Bolton and Brum lately in the FA Cup. Only 2 defeats at home in last 11 for Millwall.
Villa have scored and conceded in 5 of last 6 in all competitions and have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 aways.
Not much to go on here. This isn’t a 2 legged affair so we don’t really have to worry about those kinds of permutations.
A match for me to leave behind. I suppose I can take out that fact that Villa have tended to score and concede of late in all competitions especially in the FA cup too.
STANDOUT STATS OF THE DAY
Zambia have only scored 0-0-0-0-1 in their last 5 matches.
Nigeria are unbeaten in their last 9 matches in all competitions.
Burkina Faso last won in the African Cup of Nations in February 1998.
VVV and AZ have both scored and conceded in 5 of their last 6 head to heads.
5 out of 6 home defeats for VVV have come with both teams scoring. 6-5-4-6-6-5-4-5-4-2 – the total goals per home match for VVV.
90% over 2.5 goals for VVV at home and 89% over 2.5 goals for AZ away from home.
No clean sheets for VVV at home and AZ away from home.
AZ have scored and conceded in 8 of 9 away matches.
Only 1 win in last 5 at home for Dortmund. Dortmund don’t tend to go more than 2 games without winning at home. They have not won their last 2 home.
Dortmund have scored and conceded in 7 of their last 8 matches at home.
Dortmund have only failed to score once this season. Only one opposition team has scored first at Dortmund this season.
dortmund have scored in their last 8 matches.
7 away without a win for Nurnberg.
BET OF THE DAY
Well, based on the form, it must be that VVV and AZ have a good chance of both scoring. There is always a degree of caution here, why? Well only 2 of VVV’s last 7 matches have been over 2.5 goals.
Dortmund have only failed to score once this season, and if there is to be a first half goal, they are likely to score it.