Nigeria won eventually, but Zambia could not manage a goal – the story of their recent form.

Well done QPR 0-0. Amazingly, Wigan scored 2 again against Stoke.

5pm – Algeria v Ivory Coast – 1.78 away – Ivory  coast continue to flirt with odds on. Algeria have lost to Tunisia and Togo and failed to score in 4 consecutive matches. Ivorians beat Togo 2-1 and beat Tunisia 3-0. 

There may be a feeling that this last group match is certainly a dead rubber for the Ivorians as we go to the next stage. The ACN website is really poor.Ivorians on 6 points, Tunisia and Togo on 3. It seems Ivorians work is done. Togo and Tunisia play each other today so will take points from each other.

A feeling this is a dead rubber. The BBC website already mentions Ivorians v Nigeria in Sunday’s quarter final.

6pm – Kavala v Olympiakos – 1.29 away – Greek Cup match. We saw how strong Oly are in the league , scoring again last match.  2-0 up from a Cup match on 16th January 2013, do Oly need to win tonight? No they don’t if this is the 2nd leg. Kavala need a 2-0 to take the match further. Goals in the 1st leg came after the 60th minute.0-0 and 0-1 in away matches against Kavala at Kavala.

Not a match that sets the pulses racing. Kavala are adept at keeping cleansheets – 8 in last 11. Oly can tolerate a 1-0 loss tonight and still progress.

7pm – Anderlecht v Genk – 1.6 home – WLWDW in head to heads 4-1-4-2-4 scored by Anderlecht in head to heads. There is another cup match on 2nd March against Genk so I assume this is a 1st leg affair. Normal rules apply therefore. A clean sheet for Anderlecht , avoiding away goals is their priority.

6 clean sheets for Anderlecht in 9 home cup matches.

Only 1 win for Genk in last 7 matches. In those 7, they lost 2-4 to Anderlecht. Anderlecht were 0-2 up, Genk drew 2-2 and Anderlecht won with 86th and 90th minute goals.

No draw in 12 away in the Cup for Genk, they have won 6 of their last 7 aways.

 

745pm – Arsenal v Liverpool – 2.44 home – just because it is worth watching, doesn’t mean it’s worth betting.

HEAD TO HEADS

Sun 02/09/12 PRL Liverpool 0 – 2 Arsenal View events More info
Sat 03/03/12 PRL Liverpool 1 – 2 Arsenal View events More info
Sat 20/08/11 PRL Arsenal 0 – 2 Liverpool View events More info
Sun 17/04/11 PRL Arsenal 1 – 1 Liverpool View events More info
Sun 15/08/10 PRL Liverpool 1 – 1 Arsenal View events More info
Wed 10/02/10 PRL Arsenal 1 – 0 Liverpool View events More info
Sun 13/12/09 PRL Liverpool 1 – 2 Arsenal
Arsenal are clearly favoured in head to heads. These big games can tend to be the best team on the day matches rather than reasonable form.
LEAGUE POSITION – 7th v 6th
HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Arsenal
RECENT HOME FORM – DWLWDWLWWLW – no draw in 6 at home, and more wins than losses of late.  3 defeats and a win against top 8 at home.
RECENT FORM OVERALL – DWDDLWWWWDLLW – recent defeats v Man City and Chelsea. All bar one defeat against top 8 home and away.
GOAL TRENDS – 55% overs at home. Opponent has led only once in 11 in the first half at home.
STREAKS – 6 at home without a draw.Have conceded in last 3 at home and last 5 overall.
AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Liverpool
RECENT AWAY FORM – LDWDDDLWLWL – recent away defeats against Spurs, Stoke and United, all top 10 sides. NO win away against top 11 .
RECENT OVERALL FORM – WDLWWLWLWWLW – -current sequence of WWLWL if continuing will result in a L today. No draw in 10 overall.
GOAL TRENDS – 8 overs in last 8 matches. 4 clean sheets in last 6. Have only failed to score in 4 all season.73% overs away from home. Suarez the key
STREAKS – no draw in 10 overall. Have scored in last 5 away and last 10 overall.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – Arsenal historically have the edge over Liverpool. Arse have lost at home to 2nd, 3rd and 8th. Liverpool have not beaten top 10 home or away . Liverpool have scored away against top 5.
Goal trends suggests over 2.5 goals. Liverpool’s 8 overs in last 8 could help that stat. No draw in 6 at home for Arsenal and no draw in 10 overall for Liverpool. A hope therefore for a lay the draw policy. I must repeat that this kind of high profile match tends to go to the best team on the day, whether or not form agrees with the final victor!

745pm – Celtic v Kilmarnock – 1.22 home

HEAD TO HEADS

Sat 08/12/12 PRL Kilmarnock 1 – 3 Celtic View events More info
Sat 27/10/12 PRL Celtic 0 – 2 Kilmarnock View events More info
Sat 07/04/12 PRL Kilmarnock 0 – 6 Celtic View events More info
Sun 18/03/12 LEC Celtic 0 – 1 Kilmarnock View events More info
Sat 24/12/11 PRL Celtic 2 – 1 Kilmarnock View events More info
Sat 15/10/11 PRL Kilmarnock 3 – 3 Celtic View events More info
Sun 08/05/11 PRL Kilmarnock 0 – 2 Celtic
Kilmarnock have snuck in the odd win in 2012 against CEltic, including at Parkhead, and as recently as October. Alarm bells ring therefore that the inconsistent Celtic might turn up, you know, the one which turned up in the St Mirren League cup match and allowed a team, with no previous record of scoring against them, to score 3 goals.
LEAGUE POSITION – 1st v 8th. Celtic can be complacent with Rangers out of  the picture in what is largely a pointless uncompetitive league for them
HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Celtic
RECENT HOME FORM – WDWWLDLWWWWW – after a dodgy period of 2 defeats, including today’s opponents, it’s 5 consecutive wins now for Celtic.
RECENT FORM OVERALL – DDWLWWWWWLWWW – last 3 defeats have seen Celtic unable to score, losing 2-0 and 1-0 twice. Can Killie keep Celtic out today?
GOAL TRENDS – 33% overs at home down largely to solid defending and a few clean sheets. 5 clean sheets in last 7. Celtic have only conceded one goal in the first half all season.Celtic have scored first in 10 of 12 home matches this season. Opponents led at halftime at home only once.
STREAKS – 5 match home winning, 6 home without draw, 11 overall without draw, scored in last 5 home.
AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Kilmarnock
RECENT AWAY FORM – DDLWLWDWDDD – no defeat in 6 away matches.
RECENT OVERALL FORM – WDLLWDWDDLD – one of the defeats was a 1-3 win by Celtic. All 7 defeats this season have seen both sides score.
GOAL TRENDS – Have only failed to score in 3 all season, twice against Dundee FC. All of those finished 0-0.45% overs away from home.
STREAKS – 6 away without defeat.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – Celtic are so inconsistent that they lose 3-1 to a team who has never scored against them in recent history, lost 1–0 at home to Killie, then beat Killie 1-3 at Killie. No doubting though that Celtic at home are in fine winning form. They are highly likely to avoid the draw. Goal trends negligible and tend to point to unders, but note all Killie’s defeats have seen them score ( so quite naturally if you expect Killie to lose, back overs).

745pm – Everton v West Brom – 1.6 home

HEAD TO HEADS

Sat 01/09/12 PRL West Bromwich … 2 – 0 Everton View events More info
Sat 31/03/12 PRL Everton 2 – 0 West Bromwich … View events More info
Sun 01/01/12 PRL West Bromwich … 0 – 1 Everton View events More info
Wed 21/09/11 LEC Everton E 2 – 1  West Bromwich … View events More info
Sat 14/05/11 PRL West Bromwich … 1 – 0 Everton View events More info
Sat 27/11/10 PRL Everton 1 – 4 West Bromwich … View events More info
Sat 28/02/09 PRL Everton 2 – 0 West Bromwich …
LEAGUE POSITION – 5th v 9th – top 10 clash – West Brom won at home in September.
HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Everton
RECENT HOME FORM – WDWDWDDWWLD – the run of scoring and conceding ended with a 0-0 against Swansea, but this scoring and conceding habit continued into the Cup recently away to Bolton. Only 1 loss at home was a 1-2 v Chelsea.  3 draws at home against 6th, 7th and 8th.
RECENT FORM OVERALL – WLDDDWDWWLWDD – 2 consecutive 0-0’s in the league. So much for the scoring and conceding habit – Everton have ended it in the extreme!  This adds a new dimension to the puzzle – it used to be simply back overs and back both team to score.Only 3 defeats all season, 2 away.
GOAL TRENDS – 64% overs at home. The opponent has led in only 1 home match at half time.
STREAKS – no major home stats
AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team – West Brom
RECENT AWAY FORM – DLDLWWLLWLL – 2 of 3 wins away came against bottom 4. 3 defeats and a draw 1-1 v Spurs against top 8.
RECENT OVERALL FORM – WWWWLLLDWWLLLD – poor run of late against United, Reading, Fulham and a 2-2 with Villa. The latter 3 sides are not the best , and Everton are in superb form.
GOAL TRENDS – 64% OVERS away from home the same as Everton, so just edging overs. West BRom have conceded in all away matches.West BRom have conceded 12 in last 1/2 hour.
STREAKS – 8 away without a draw. Have conceded in last 11 away and last 6 overall.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – Everton are in superb form , losing 3 all season, 2 of them away. 64% overs for both sides suggests overs might edge it. West Brom have conceded in all away matches. 2 consecutive 0-0’s – will this continue? You hope not. Note that in the last 3 head to heads, only 1 team has scored the goals. Could this ensure that the 0-0 ends, and that Everton don’t score and concede again.Recent west Brom wins were against Norwich and QPR, both 2-1 , not the most inspiring form.
It must be advantage Everton but will Everton score? Will Everton concede? Will Everton score and concede? 2 0-0’s should end eventually.

745pm – Norwich v Tottenham – 1.84 away

HEAD TO HEADS

Wed 31/10/12 LEC Norwich City 2 – 1 Tottenham Hotspur View events More info
Sat 01/09/12 PRL Tottenham Hotspur 1 – 1 Norwich City View events More info
Mon 09/04/12 PRL Tottenham Hotspur 1 – 2 Norwich City View events More info
Tue 27/12/11 PRL Norwich City 0 – 2 Tottenham Hotspur View events More info
Sat 25/12/04 PRL Norwich City 0 – 2 Tottenham Hotspur More info
Sat 11/09/04 PRL Tottenham Hotspur 0 – 0 Norwich City More info
Sun 16/04/95 PRL Tottenham Hotspur 1 – 0 Norwich City
LEAGUE POSITION – 13th v 4th
HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Norwich
RECENT HOME FORM – DDLWWWWWLLD – no coincidences that last 2 defeats were against Chelsea and Man City and having had 2nd and 3rd, we now get 4th.Only other defeat at home was against Liverpool.
RECENT FORM OVERALL – WDWDDWWWLLLLDL – West Brom, Chelsea, City, West Ham, Liverpool all recent victors. Another London club to make it 3 London victors in last 7? The last match was a 5-0 win for Liverpool and we do tend to see over reactions in the next match to defensive maulings. Look for a Norwich akin to the team who lost only 0-1 to City.
GOAL TRENDS – 36% overs at home. Only 1 clean sheet in last 11 and have failed to score in their last 2 matches.
STREAKS – 3 at home, 6 overall without a win.
AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Spurs – disdain for the Cup, or so it seemed last match? Not a reflection surely on any dip in form.
RECENT AWAY FORM – LWWWLLWLWWD – all away defeats bar one against top 6 sides. Only failed to score away in a 0-0 v QPR – last away match.
RECENT OVERALL FORM – LLLWWWLWDWWWDD – last 3 defeats away defeats against top 6 . Only 1 defeat in last 11 matches though is strong form. Last 2 draws v QPR and lucky escape v UNited,punishing them for not scoring 2 goals.
GOAL TRENDS – 91% overs away  – 2 scored on average, 1.45 conceded on average. 15 goals scored in the 2nd half away from home. Have scored first in 8 of 11 away matches. Failed to score only 3 this season
STREAKS -no defeat in 7 overall, 3 away.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – Norwich have not lost last 3 against Spurs in head to heads, but their 2 most recent defeats were against 2nd and 3rd, Spurs are 4th. Are Norwich a bogey team for Spurs, or do we acknowledge this is a different Spurs side with only 1 defeat in last 11 matches. Sharply contrasting goal trends , 36% as against 91% for Spurs. Who will out? Well the one nearer 100% could be favoured logically? 5 defeats in last 6 for Norwich taking the gloss of their earlier strong work. Expect a defensive reaction to shipping 5 last time out? 3 1-0’s, 2 wins and a loss, in 4 matches against top 6 a sign of what to expect from Hughton tonight?

745pm – PSV v Feyenoord – 1.6 home – Dutch cup -PSV and Feyenoord have shared the spoils last 4 head to heads. 2 for Feyenoord followed by 2 for PSV.

 

8pm – Fulham v West Ham – 2.3 home

HEAD TO HEADS

Sat 01/09/12 PRL West Ham United 3 – 0 Fulham View events More info
Sun 26/12/10 PRL Fulham 1 – 3 West Ham United View events More info
Sat 02/10/10 PRL West Ham United 1 – 1 Fulham View events More info
Sun 02/05/10 PRL Fulham 3 – 2 West Ham United View events More info
Sun 04/10/09 PRL West Ham United 2 – 2 Fulham View events More info
Sun 18/01/09 PRL West Ham United 3 – 1 Fulham View events More info
Sat 27/09/08 PRL Fulham 1 – 2 West Ham United
LEAGUE POSITION – 14th v 12th
HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Fulham
RECENT HOME FORM – WWLWDLLWDLD – defeats at home v 2nd, 4th, 8th and 11th saw both sides score in 3 of them. More consistent at home against 13th and below with 3 wins and 2 score draws. So the Hammers right on the cusp here of teams Fulham lose to v teams Fulham perform better against.
RECENT FORM OVERALL – LLDLWLLDLWDL – poor form only 2 wins in last 15.
GOAL TRENDS – 73% overs at home. Fulham have only conceded 2 in the first half  at home. Opposition have only led once at halftime at Fulham.
STREAKS – conceded in last 7 at home, and last 9 overall.
AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team – West Ham
RECENT AWAY FORM – LDWLWLLDLLL – West Ham have a touch of Fulhamitis away from home. Only 2 away wins against Newcastle and QPR, 6th bottom and bottom.
RECENT OVERALL FORM – WDLLWLDLLWLDL – recent wins against Newcastle, Chelsea, and Norwich , latter 2 at home. West Ham have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 against teams below them ( 2 defeats came away), suggesting an ability to at least cope with Fulham on some level.
GOAL TRENDS – 55% overs away from home. West ham have conceded 11 in the first half hour of 2nd half away and scored only 2 in last 15 minutes.
STREAKS – 6 away without a win. have conceded in last 6 overall.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – West Ham have a Fulham-eque away record of late which must make them vulnerable tonight. That said, 6 wins,2 draws and 2 defeats ( albeit away) against teams below them  is something to consider.It is in the 2nd half that West Ham concede the most so watch out at halftime perhaps? Add to this Fulham conceding only 2 goals at home and we might have 2nd half action and a delay until half time? West Ham have lost only 1 of the last 6 head to heads.

8pm – Man Utd v Southampton – 1.24 home

HEAD TO HEADS

Sun 02/09/12 PRL Southampton 2 – 3 Manchester United View events More info
Sat 29/01/11 FAC Southampton 1 – 2 Manchester United View events More info
Sun 04/01/09 FAC Southampton 0 – 3 Manchester United View events More info
Sat 14/05/05 PRL Southampton 1 – 2 Manchester United More info
Fri 11/03/05 FAC Southampton 0 – 4 Manchester United More info
Sat 04/12/04 PRL Manchester United 3 – 0 Southampton View events More info
Fri 30/01/04 PRL Manchester United 3 – 2 Southampton
LEAGUE POSITION – 1st v 16th – United must take advantage of the good work done by QPR last night.
HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Man Utd
RECENT HOME FORM – WWLWWWWWWWW – solitary loss v Spurs under extenuating circumstances.  Van Parsley has scored in 7 of last 8 home matches. United have scored 3-4-4-3 against teams 14th and lower at home. Have only failed to score 2 in one match.
RECENT FORM OVERALL – WWWLWWWWWDWWWWD – last 2 draws 1-1 away from home. When United have dropped points in the league , they have always won their next match.
GOAL TRENDS – 82% overs at home. Scored in all home matches. 2.73 average.15 scored in 1/2 hour after 2nd half – Fergie hairdryer.It’s 50/50 regarding who scores first at home, so do note that you enhanced bet seekers.
STREAKS –
AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Southampton
RECENT AWAY FORM
RECENT OVERALL FORM
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS

8pm – Pacos Ferreira v Benfica – 1.49 away – Taca De portugal

 

8pm – Reading v Chelsea – 1.51 away

HEAD TO HEADS

Wed 22/08/12 PRL Chelsea 4 – 2 Reading View events More info
Sat 01/08/09 CLF Reading 2 – 2 Chelsea More info
Wed 30/01/08 PRL Chelsea 1 – 0 Reading View events More info
Wed 15/08/07 PRL Reading 1 – 2 Chelsea View events More info
Tue 26/12/06 PRL Chelsea 2 – 2 Reading View events More info
Sat 14/10/06 PRL Reading 0 – 1 Chelsea
LEAGUE POSITION – 19th v 3rd
HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Reading
RECENT HOME FORM – DLDDDWLLDWW – all defeats at home against top 6.
RECENT FORM OVERALL – LLLLLLLDWLWW – great recent run of 1 loss in 5 and 3 wins in 4 , 2 at home against West Ham and West Brom. Wins against Newcastle too, and these 3 teams are not quite as strong as Chelsea.
GOAL TRENDS – 64% overs at home. Reading have scored 11 in last 1/2 hour 2nd half at home. Reading have led at halftime in only 2 home matches. All bar one match against top 6 is overs.
STREAKS – 4 overall without a draw. Have scored in last 4 overall.
AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Chelsea
RECENT AWAY FORM – WDWWDLLWWWW – Stoke, Everton , Norwich and Sunderland recent wins. HAve lost to West Ham and West Brom away and not conceded away in the 2 matches against bottom 4.
RECENT OVERALL FORM – LDDLWWWWLWDW – last 2 losses v London clubs West Ham and QPR
GOAL TRENDS – 64% overs away from home. Have only conceded 3 in the first half away from home. No opponent has led at halftime in Chelsea away matches.
STREAKS – 6 away without a draw, 4 away wins, scored in last 9 away
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – Reading seem to concede 3/4 against top echelons and Chelsea seem to keep a clean sheet against bottom 4 away. Reading are unlikely to be leading at halftime for any value seekers in the HT/FT market. 64% overs for both camps suggests overs a possibility. All Reading defeats at home were against top 6 and this is set to continue as Chelsea continue to over perform away.

8pm – Real Madrid v Barcelona – 2.22 away – Copa Del Rey

 

2359pm – Fluminense v Friburguense – 1.32 home