Interesting internationals today, and a chance to look for value bets, like yesterday, where the utra shorties did exactly as expected, winning 4-0 and 5-0. This should be what we expect from Eng-er-land tonight.
2pm – Czech Rep U19 v Moldova U19 – 1.31 home –
No defeat in 10 at home for Russia in all competitions but I see the likes of Armenia, Northern Ireland, Andorra .
Russia have been extremely strong historically in World Cup qualifiers only losing 3 since 2004, 2 of which were against Germany. Only 1 defeat at home since 2002 in World Cup European Qualification was a 0-1 v Germany in 2009. This really is solid form. Difficult to evaluate of course as the team changes out of necessity year on year.
Portugal have found their goalscoring touch of late, scoring 3-2-1-0-2-2-3. Recent matches have been against panama,Luxembourg and Azerbaijan, and again this is a step up.
After a recent away run of only 2 wins in 10 , Portugal have won their last 3 away matches against Denmark, Czechs and Luxembourg.
Portugal have as equally an impressive record in the World Cup European Qualification. Only 1 defeat, a 2-3 90th minute DAnish winner, since 1996 and Portugal have won their last 7 European World Cup qualifiers, keeping 6 clean sheets.
No defeat in 21 away in WC qualification.
This is far too tight to call. Both teams have exceptional records in World Cup qualification throughout the years, which suggests the draw is most likely? Not a match I can get an angle in.
Faroes generally do not score in defeat. So if they score , it could be a positive result. The odds suggest Sweden win easily, so w win to nil perhaps?
Faroes kept Italy to 0-1 in September 2011 but keeping Ibra quiet – that’s another matter entirely. The last win in qualifiers was a 2-1 v Lithuania. Faroes lost 3-0 away to Germany in 2012 and at home in 11 of their last 12 defeats , they have failed to score.
Swedes have not had a draw in 20 matches and that surely is not expected tonight. No draw in their last 15 matches in all competitions.recent away defeats have come against Hungary,Denmark, Ukraine and England.
The matches in which Sweden have dropped points in qualifying have been either 1-0 defeats or 0-0 draws.
A recent 0-1 win against minnows Malta hides a multitude of sins – A 59th minute own goal the only separator.
Could Faroes take a leaf out of Malta’s book?
1-0-0-0-2-1-0 scored by Sweden in their last 7 away WC qualifiers. A problem away, or have they just met stubborn opponents?
ANGLES IN? Likely a win to nil tonight as Faroes tend not to score when they lose at home. 0-0 might be a speculative punt if we expect Sweden to be as shoddy away in qualifiers as they have been, even with a world class striker up front.
Delayed entry might pay off if Faroes frustrate for a while.
5pm-Germany U21 v Switzerland U21 – 1.35 home
545pm-France U21 v Norway U21 – 1.45 home
Only 1 draw in armenia’s last 17 matches was a 0-0 against Russia in March 2011. A current LWLWLWL sequence for Armenia, which, if continues will result in a Win this evening. Stretching the boundaries a tad, or is it?
Recent Armenian wins at home have come against Uzbekistan, Slovakia, Andorra, Macedonia, Canada, Kazakhstan. A motley bunch!
A 0-1 win against Malta in September this year perhaps suggests Armenia’s level. The 2009 World Cup qualifiers at home saw a 2-1 win against Belgium and a 1-2 loss to Spain – perfectly respectable.
Italy started 2012 poorly with losses to USA and Russia,and only have 1 win in their last 4, 2-0 v Malta. They have though lost to the likes of Spain 4-0 and England 2-1 and drew 2-2 away to Bulgaria.
The Maltese goals came in the 5th and 90th minutes – hardly convincing.
Italy might have problems this evening? Only 1 defeat though in World Cup qualifiers since 1993 was a 1-0 v Slovenia in 2004.
Italy have scored 2 in 5 of their last 6 away world cup qualifiers. They have drawn 2-2 in their last 2. A win is a must tonight. I expect Italy to out eventually. Again, this is on my delay radar in the hope Armenia are as tough to beat as Spain found them to be in 2009! can Italy score 2 goals away again? If so, then this should form the basis of the correct score.
6pm-England U21 v Serbia U21 – 1.47 home
Belarus have only won 1 of their last 11 matches so are meeting Spain whilst in terrible form. 2 consecutive 1-1 home draws have been against Libya and Lithuania. I suppose a look at scorelines v Italy and England in World Cup qualifiers may offer us an angle into likely scoreline tonight – 1-4 v Italy, 1-3 v Croatia and England. Will Belarus score this evening? Will they see enough of the ball?
11 wins and 2 draws in their last 13 for spain includes 10 clean sheets, so that might be your answer regarding Belarus scoring.
11 consecutive wins in World Cup qualifying and I cannot see any reason why this cannot continue tonight.
a 0-1 win against Georgia in 2012 qualifying is poor – the goal coming in the 86th minute. Again, delayed reaction here might pay off. Steam in if 0-0 at 85 minutes again!!
7pm- Moldova v Ukraine – 1.41 away
745pm – Slovakia v Latvia – 1.47 home
Ireland were unbeaten in 14 matches until an unwelcome run of 3 defeats in Euro qualifiers against Croatia, Spain and Italy.
They are unbeaten in last 3, albeit 2 friendlies and an oh-so-lucky 1-2 win against Borat’s boys.
This is nowhere near good enough to stop Ze germans.
The only recent home defeat was 1-3 against Croatia.
Ireland have a very good record over the years in World Cup qualifiers. 1-0 loss to Iran 2001, 0-1 loss to France in 2005 and the Frogs won 1-0 again in November 2009.
Ireland’s only recent wins in qualifying have come against Cyprus twice, Georgia twice, and 2 goals, 89th and 90th minute against Kazakhstan.
No draw in 12 for germany and a striking run of 7 consecutive over 2.5 goals matches which form part of a run of 21 over 2.5 goals matches in their last 23.Portugal and Israel kept unders, one a friendly and the other a Euro qualifier.
Only 1 defeat in their last 26 away matches sees the Germans travel well. The loss was in a 5-3 friendly v Switzerland.
Only 1 defeat in World Cup qualifying since, erm, 1934 was that rather delightful 1-5 drubbing by Eng-er-land, when Michael Owen could still play football.
A 1-2 win over Austria in 2012 qualifying might just be the ammunition Ireland need -the winner was a penalty for Germany.
Ireland will hope this remains 0-0 for a long while and then nick a 1-0 – dreamland for Trappa. The German squad on paper look awesome while Ireland’s looks like the equivalent of a Championship side .
1-2 to Germany, maybe a goal more, after a concerted period of 0-0 could be the call this evening.
745pm – Slovenia v Cyprus – 1.51 home
8pm – France v Japan – 1.77 home
8pm – Luxembourg v Israel – 1.39 away
2359 – Antigua and Barbuda v USA – 1.2 away
0045 – Canada v Cuba – 1.18 home
Hi Clive , See Andy Murray did it again , loses 1st set wins 2nd does awobble in the 3rd —–wins 1st game Down to 1.06 then loses next two Goes up to 1.9
then the big comeback. this from a 1.1 shot before the match !
Was up to 1.6 after 1st set —-but I missed it
Very tradable IF you have upmost faith in Murray ie Scottish
Does Murray have a concentration thing midway through sets, & he always seems to be Beating himself up ……Before the Comeback
Hi Philip, I got on at 1.43 I think which I was very happy with. I expected an implosion though as he was mentally all over the shop, but eventually he saw it through. A nice trade though.