Saturday

 

1030am – Kuban Krasnodar v Alania Vladikavkaz – 1.41 home

 

HEAD TO HEADS

 

20.08.2012 D1 Alania Vladikavkaz 2-1 Kuban Krasnodar
06.11.2008 D2 Kuban Krasnodar 3-0 Alania Vladikavkaz
30.03.2008 D2 Alania Vladikavkaz 1-0 Kuban Krasnodar
22.08.2004 D1 Alania Vladikavkaz 2-0 Kuban Krasnodar
01.05.2004 D1 Kuban Krasnodar 2-3 Alania Vladikavkaz

 

 

 

Kuban have scored 2 and 3 at home in head to heads.

 

LEAGUE POSITION – 5th v 15th

 

HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Kuban

 

RECENT HOME FORM – WWWDWWLW – only one loss at home came against 2nd. Have played 5 home matches against 10th and below, and won the lot. Have scored and conceded in 6 of the last 7 home matches.

 

RECENT FORM OVERALL – LWLWLWWDLWWLWWLWWL – a WWL sequence at present – I know a lot of teams who would like to win 2 in 3 matches. If this continues, it will be a W today.

 

GOAL TRENDS – 75% overs at home. Have scored in all home matches. Have failed to score in 0nly 2 matches this season, both away and both 0-1 defeats.Last 5 matches over 2.5 goals.

 

STREAKS – have scored in last 8 at home and last 6 overall. No draw in 10 overall and last 4 at home.

 

AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team – alania

 

RECENT AWAY FORM – LDLLDLLL- no win away yet .Have lost to 2nd, 4th and 6th and playing 5th today. Scored only 1 in those matches

 

RECENT OVERALL FORM – LLWDWLDLLDDLLLLLLL – only 2 wins all season came against 4th and 5th at home, back in August. Since then it has been terrible.

 

GOAL TRENDS – 38% overs away from home. Score 0.63 on average. Concede 2 on average away. No clean sheets away. Have conceded 2 or 3 in 6 of 8 away matches

 

STREAKS – 8 away without a win, 13 overall. No draw in 7. Have conceded in last 8 away and last 15 overall. Have failed to score in last 5.

 

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – the only recent relevant head to head sees Alania win 2-1 but that was way back in August where they got their 2nd win as well. Home side have failed to score in only 2 this season. Away side have failed to score in last 5 and have conceded in last 15. Surely the home side will get at least 1 . 1-0 losses for Alanya last 2 matches and tend recently to concede 2 at least.

The draw seems missing in recent form for both, which suggests a home win. I would think starting at 1-0, 2-0, 2-1 ( incase Alanya decide to score) could give us a run. Tough to get a value angle in, because of the 2 consecutive 1-0 losses which might scupper overs.

 

 

1230pm – Kilmarnock v Celtic – 1.41 away

 

HEAD TO HEADS

 

27.10.2012 PR Celtic FC 0-2 Kilmarnock FC
07.04.2012 PR Kilmarnock FC 0-6 Celtic FC
18.03.2012 LC Celtic FC 0-1 Kilmarnock FC
24.12.2011 PR Celtic FC 2-1 Kilmarnock FC
15.10.2011 PR Kilmarnock FC 3-3 Celtic FC
08.05.2011 PR Kilmarnock FC 0-2 Celtic FC

 

Celtic love playing away in the league and it looks like they love playing at Killie. They have scored 2-3-6 at Killie but at home, it’s WLL.

How much will going through to the Champions League next round boost or hinder the Bhoys today ( after the Lord Mayor’s Show?)

 

LEAGUE POSITION – 8th v 1st – Celtic have a game in hand over 2nd.

 

HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Killie

 

RECENT HOME FORM – DLWWLLWL – only 1 draw at home. Have scored in last 7 so losing 3 of last 4 suggests a scoreline 1-2, 1-3 if they lost today.

 

RECENT FORM OVERALL – DDLWDLWWLLWLWDL – inconsistent look to the form. Only 2 wins in last 7 includes 2-0 away win v Celtic and a 3-0 home win v Ross County. Killie tend either to score 2/3 or concede 2/3 which as you’ll see does wonders for the overs.

 

GOAL TRENDS – 88% overs at home , 73% overs overall. 11 overs in last 13 matches. Have failed to score in only 2 matches all season. Clean sheets in only 4 all season.

 

STREAKS – 7 at home without a draw. Have scored in last 7 at home, and last 10 overall.

 

AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Celtic

 

RECENT AWAY FORM – DWLWWDWW – Celtic like playing away from home it would seem. 4 wins in last 5 in stark contrast with home form. 4 clean sheets away in last 5 all produced the wins.

 

RECENT OVERALL FORM – WDWDLWWWWLDDWLW – last 2 defeats and 1 of the draws came at home. One of those defeats was to Kilmarnock.  For some reason, Celtic like travelling this season.

 

GOAL TRENDS – 63% overs away from home. Score 2.63 on average and concede 0.88 on average away. have scored in all away matches. 4 clean sheets in last 5 aways could have been 5 but for conceding 2 goals in the 89th and 90th minutes against Dundee Utd. CEltic have only failed to score twice this season, both at home, and both within last 6 matches resulting in defeats.

 

STREAKS – 5 away without defeat. have scored in last 8 away

 

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – Killie seem to have the numbers 2/3 pervading their matches. Either they score 2/3 or they concede 2/3 . Goal trends for both sides are congruous and point to overs and a suggestion both sides may score, although Celtic away should be 5 from 5 for clean sheets ( apart from those 89th and 90th minute goals v Dundee United). CEltic are far more reliable away from home. Killie have failed to score only twice this season and Celtic have scored in all aways which might put a value based away win to nil in jeopardy.

Concern with ” after the Lord Mayor’s Show”. Will this galvanise or jade the bhoys? In any case, they look far more solid betting propositions away from home. Conceivable that Killie could score first so I would lay them if they do.

 

 

230pm – Augsburg v B Munich – 1.29 away

 

HEAD TO HEADS

 

07.04.2012 D1 Bayern München 2-1 FC Augsburg
06.11.2011 D1 FC Augsburg 1-2 Bayern München
09.01.2008 CF FC Augsburg 1-2 Bayern München

 

Always tight when these 2 meet, and all 2-1 wins for Bayern. The probability of 2-1 occuring again lessens with each consecutive match.

 

LEAGUE POSITION – 17th v 1st  – a nice 8 point cushion for Bayern at the top.

 

HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team- Augsburg

 

RECENT HOME FORM – LDLWLLDD – have lost 1-3 to 2nd and 3rd so therein lies a “sighter”. Note both sides scored, as has been the case against 5 of the 6 teams they have played at home from top 11. last 2 matches 1-1 draws against 10th and 11th

 

RECENT FORM OVERALL – LLDLLDWDLLLLDLD – only 1 win all season was a home win v werder Bremen.

 

GOAL TRENDS – 38% overs at home. 0.88 scored on average, anything below 1 of course is poor. Start off home matches well scoring 3 in first 1/4 hour – fingers crossed they can score first here because I’ll be  getting stuck in.

 

STREAKS – 4 at home without a win and 8 overall. 2 match home drawing streak.  Have conceded in last 6 at home and last 7 overall.

 

AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team – bayern – midweek pipe opener in the Champions League at home.

 

RECENT AWAY FORM – WWWWWDW – draw against Nurnberg saw bayern score first.

 

RECENT OVERALL FORM – WWWWWWWWLWWDWWD – loss v 2nd at home and draw v 3rd at home. Draw v 14th away.

 

GOAL TRENDS – 43% overs away from home, scoring 2.57 on average away and conceding 0.14.Have scored in all matches this season. have only conceded 1 goal away this season in the 2nd half. Spark into life goals wise in the 2nd half.

 

STREAKS – 7 away without defeat. Have scored in last 15

 

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – note that Augsburg could score as they have in head to heads and againt 2nd and 3rd when losing this season at home. This suggests a natural over 2.5 goals and even over 3.5 goals if Bayern start motoring. Don’t worry if Bayern have not got going 1st half. They have scored bucket loads in the 2nd half.

 

 

230pm – Dortmund v Wolfsburg – 1.29 home

 

HEAD TO HEADS

 

07.04.2012 D1 VfL Wolfsburg 1-3 Borussia Dortmund
05.11.2011 D1 Borussia Dortmund 5-1 VfL Wolfsburg
29.01.2011 D1 VfL Wolfsburg 0-3 Borussia Dortmund
11.09.2010 D1 Borussia Dortmund 2-0 VfL Wolfsburg
01.05.2010 D1 Borussia Dortmund 1-1 VfL Wolfsburg
13.12.2009 D1 VfL Wolfsburg 1-3 Borussia Dortmund

 

In recent times, Dortmund have managed 3+ against the wolves

LEAGUE POSITION- 3rd v 15th – slowly losing touch with Bayern, so home matches are key to success, and so they should be with some of the finest support in the league at home.

 

HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Dortmund

 

RECENT HOME FORM – WWWLDWD – a bit ropey last 4 with only 1 win. Defeat came against 4th. Draws against 7th and 13th. Beat 18th at home 3-1.

 

RECENT FORM OVERALL – WDWLDWDLWDWWWDD – recent 1-1 draws against Bayern and Dusseldorf – but only 2 defeats all season and Dortmund scored in both losses.

 

GOAL TRENDS – 71% overs at home 2.14 scored on average. have scored 9 at home in the first half, conceding only 2. Dortmund have only failed to score in 1 goal only season.

 

STREAKS – 3 at home without defeat, 7 overall. Have scored and conceded in last 5 matches.

 

AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Wolfsburg

 

RECENT AWAY FORM – WDLLWLWL – inconsistent away and a general tendency to avoid the draw. Have lost 3-0 to 1st and 4th away – is this a template for today, against a Dortmund scoring 3+ in head to heads.

 

RECENT OVERALL FORM – WLDDLLLLWLWWDLD – beat 2nd at home 3-1 and 3 other wins have come away against 7th, 13th, and 16th.

 

GOAL TRENDS – 50/50 overs away. Have only scored 2 away in the first half – only 2 clean sheets all season.  In last 12 matches, 2+ total goals in 11 matches hint that over 2.5 goals as a trade could be good.

 

STREAKS – 6 away without a draw. Have conceded in last 6 away and last 12 overall.

 

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – Dortmund tend to score 3 + in head to heads, 3 against teams at home near Wolf in the league, and Wolf have lost 3-0 to 1st and 4th. What chance 3 again today? It keeps recurring! If a goal is to come in the first half Dortmund are the most likely scorers.No clean sheet for Wolf in 12 matches against a team who have failed to score only once. So ready yourself if a concerted period of 0-0.

 

 

3pm – Arsenal v West Brom – 1.52 home – West Brom being underestimated here? They are in great form.

 

HEAD TO HEADS

 

13.05.2012 PR West Bromwich 2-3 Arsenal FC
05.11.2011 PR Arsenal FC 3-0 West Bromwich
19.03.2011 PR West Bromwich 2-2 Arsenal FC
25.09.2010 PR Arsenal FC 2-3 West Bromwich
22.09.2009 LC Arsenal FC 2-0 West Bromwich
03.03.2009 PR West Bromwich 1-3 Arsenal FC

Arsenal at home have scored 2+ against WBA , indeed they have scored 2+ in last 6 head to heads . Last 4 head to heads have seen WBA scoring 3-2-2 as well.

based on head to heads this is going to be a humdinger.

 

LEAGUE POSITION – 10th v 5th – West Brom having a cracking season

 

HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Arsenal

 

RECENT HOME FORM – DWLWDWL – on a DWLW sequence at present which, if continuing will result in a win today. It does relay a degree of unreliability about the Arse.

Lost to 3rd and 7th and beat 4th.  Arsenal have conceded 2 goals in 3 home matches against top 7 sides.

 

RECENT FORM OVERALL – DDWWDLWLWLDWDDL – only 1 win in last 6 matches for Arsenal. Lost to Swansea at home latest with 2 88th+ minute goals.  Draws against Everton, Villa and Fulham.

 

GOAL TRENDS – 57% overs at home. Arsenal scored 6 just before halftime at home. The opponent has not won at halftime in all 7 home matches so far.

 

STREAKS – have conceded in last 3 at home. No win in 3 overall.

 

AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team – WBA

 

RECENT AWAY FORM  – DLDLWWL – West Brom have scored and conceded in 6 of their 7 away matches. All aways feature at least 2 goals, 5 of the last 6 over 2.5 goals. Wins away have come against 16th and 17th away.

 

RECENT OVERALL FORM – WDWLWDWLLWWWWLL – only 2 draws all season naturally saw both teams score. Both teams have scored in 7 of the last 9 matches. Wins against top 11 teams have come at home

 

GOAL TRENDS – 71% overs away from home. No clean sheets away.Have only scored the 1 goal in the first half of away matches. Vulnerable away in the last 1/4 hour of both halves.

 

STREAKS – 4 away without a draw, 9 overall. Have scored in last 5 away and conceded in last 7 away.

 

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – West Brom tend to score and concede in their matches this season away, and also in head to heads. This sets up an over 2.5 goals match. Do note that Arsenal may react to the loss against Swansea by being ultra cautious.  No clean sheets away for West Brom open things up for a possible Arse goal. Arsenal have conceded 2 against the 3 top 7 sides they have played at home. A chance on over 3.5 goals here and a possible 2-2 starting point? 1.52 looks layable if West Brom can get a goal at some stage.

 

 

3pm – Aston Villa v Stoke – 2.52 home

 

HEAD TO HEADS

 

09.04.2012 PR Aston Villa 1-1 Stoke City
26.12.2011 PR Stoke City 0-0 Aston Villa
23.04.2011 PR Aston Villa 1-1 Stoke City
13.09.2010 PR Stoke City 2-1 Aston Villa
13.03.2010 PR Stoke City 0-0 Aston Villa
19.12.2009 PR Aston Villa 1-0 Stoke City

New management for Villa since they last met in head to heads. 1-0, 1-1, 1-1 at Villa historically

 

LEAGUE POSITION – 15th v 9th

 

HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Aston Villa

 

RECENT HOME FORM – LWDDLDW – 2 defeat at home v Everton and Man Utd., latterly when 2-0 up.Draws against 10th and 12th at home and playing 9th today.

 

RECENT FORM OVERALL – LLDWLDLLDWLLDWD  – only defeats in last 7 have come against the Manchesters. Realistically could have been 6 unbeaten at home if they kept the 2-0 lead v United. Top 6 aside, tend to concede only 1 goal ( Southampton not withstanding)

 

GOAL TRENDS – 29% overs at home – the opponent has led at halftime in only 1 match this season.. Clean sheets in last 2 home matches

 

STREAKS – no strong streaks.

 

AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Stoke

 

RECENT AWAY FORM – DDLDLLDW – only 1 win away a characteristic 0-1 v WBA, typically a late 75th minute winner. Again if we take United out of the equation away as they skew the sequences, Stoke have conceded 1-0-1-1-0 in 5 of last 6 aways. This gives them a chance of getting something.

 

RECENT OVERALL FORM – DDDDLWDLDLWDWWW – only 3 defeats this season have come away to Chelsea, United and Norwich, typically 1-0 losses and 4-2 v United. Unbeaten against the bottom 8 home and away.

 

GOAL TRENDS – 25% overs away – would we expect anything less? Clean sheets in 6 of the last 10 matches.

 

STREAKS – no defeat in 5 overall, have scored in last 5 overall

 

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – both sides have reasonable form spoilt by the one, or both, of the Manchester Clubs. Take them out of the equation and Stoke have conceded 1 or none in 5 of last 6 aways.. Both sides have over 2.5 goals under 30% , which suggests defences will out. Outside top 6, Villa tend to concede 1 max. A battle of defences today you feel with unders and a 0-0 back to lay trade possibles.

 

 

3pm – Leicester v Barnsley – 1.43 home

 

HEAD TO HEADS

 

14.01.2012 LCh Leicester City 1-2 Barnsley FC
10.09.2011 LCh Barnsley FC 1-1 Leicester City
05.02.2011 LCh Leicester City 4-1 Barnsley FC
06.11.2010 LCh Barnsley FC 0-2 Leicester City
26.01.2010 LCh Barnsley FC 1-0 Leicester City
22.08.2009 LCh Leicester City 1-0 Barnsley FC

 

both teams have scored in last 3 matches

 

LEAGUE POSITION – 3rd v 21st – a chance for Leicester to keep the pressure on the top 2 with a home win against a struggling Barnsley

 

HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Leicester

 

RECENT HOME FORM – WWWWWWLDWW – solid at home, only losing to 2nd place.

 

RECENT FORM OVERALL – WLLWLWWWWWDWLLDDWWLW – 5 of the 6 defeats have come away from home. Have not lost against bottom 7, who they play today, in fact have conceded only 1 goal in those 6 matches home and away against bottom 7

 

GOAL TRENDS – 60% overs at home. Have scored in all home matches. Have only failed to score in 2 all season.

 

STREAKS – have scored in 10 at home.

 

AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Barnsley

 

RECENT AWAY FORM – LLLWLWLLDL – 2 wins away agianst 13th and 19th. -have lost to all of the top 11 they have played away,but yet to play the bottom 4.

 

RECENT OVERALL FORM – WLLWDLWDLLWDLLLLDLDL – only 1 win in 13 was a 1-0 win.

 

GOAL TRENDS – 50/50 overs away from home. have conceded in 4 away and last 9 overall.

 

STREAKS – 9 overall without a win.

 

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – only 1 loss for Leicester at home was against 2nd. Have beaten 3 of the bottom 6 at home without conceding.  Barnsley have lost away to top 11 sides they have met,  but have not met top 4 away yet.  Leciester scored in 10 at home, Barnsley conceded in last 9. Leceister could score 2 this afternoon bare minimum. If lasting to first half without conceding, Leicester could go the rest of the match without conceding, they have conceded only 1 at home and scored 12 in the 2nd half at home.Leciester likely to score first.

 

 

3pm – Southampton v Reading – 1.97 home

 

HEAD TO HEADS

 

13.04.2012 LCh Southampton 1-3 Reading FC
22.10.2011 LCh Reading FC 1-1 Southampton
31.07.2010 CF Southampton 2-4 Reading FC
28.12.2008 LCh Southampton 1-1 Reading FC
22.11.2008 LCh Reading FC 1-2 Southampton
10.02.2006 LCh Reading FC 2-0 Southampton

Goals anyone? No real relevant head to heads. this is the big time boys!

 

LEAGUE POSITION – 18th v 19th – these types of matches can be problematic as so much is at stake and so early in the season.

 

HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team – saints

RECENT HOME FORM – LLWDLDWD – only 1 defeat in 6 at home sees Saints gaining some consistency. Have scored 2 at home agianst 13th, 14th and 15th but then 0-2 loss to Wigan.

 

RECENT FORM OVERALL – LLLLWLDLLLDWWDL – after a decent run, lost 1-0 to Liverpool. All bar 1 defeat have come against top 11 sides. Inference is that Reading offer a real opportunity a) not to lose and b) to get the 3 points.

 

GOAL TRENDS – 50/50 overs at home. With Saints rep, I would have expected overs to have been more pronounced. 9 goals scored in 2nd half, so if 0-0 at halftime, lay said 0-0. Saints always tend to get or concede 1 goal.

 

STREAKS – have scored in last 7 at home, no defeat in 3 at home.

 

AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team – reading

 

RECENT AWAY FORM – LLDLDLL – the elusive away win eludes still.1-1 away draw with QPR. 3-2 away loss v Wigan and 1-0 away defeat to Villa. Reading battle against these lesser teams.

 

RECENT OVERALL FORM – DLLLDDLDDDWLLL – that win , only one of the season, was care of a penalty. After a middle where Reading had a single defeat in 8, they have not lost their last 3.They scored 2 agaisnt Wigan and 3 against Man Utd. – a chance of goals against a carefree Saints?

 

GOAL TRENDS – only 1 clean sheet for both Saints and reading all season.43% overs away from home. Conceded in all aways. Have conceded 10 goals in last 1/2 hour.

 

STREAKS – 7 away without a win. 4 overall without a draw.

 

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – only 1 clean sheet for both of these sides suggests if this is 0-0 late on, then lay it. Watch out for late action as reading are very careless in last 1/2 hour of matches.  No win away for reading although they have been competitive against teams near them. advantage Saints I feel with only 1 defeat in last 6 home matches . No other angles in what is a 6 pointer already!

 

 

3pm – Sunderland v Chelsea – 1.82 away

 

HEAD TO HEADS

 

14.01.2012 PR Chelsea FC 1-0 Sunderland
10.09.2011 PR Sunderland 1-2 Chelsea FC
01.02.2011 PR Sunderland 2-4 Chelsea FC
14.11.2010 PR Chelsea FC 0-3 Sunderland
16.01.2010 PR Chelsea FC 7-2 Sunderland
18.08.2009 PR Sunderland 1-3 Chelsea FC

A tough game to call as we have a new Chelsea manager so these head to heads could be a little redundant.

 

LEAGUE POSITION – 17th v 3rd – quite a surprise that Chelsea are 3rd  – they are 10 points from top though.Sunderland, with a win, could distance themselves from relegation zone.

 

HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Sunderland – Cattermole, O’Shea and Brown absentees for Sunderland. That’s 2 class defenders missing.

 

RECENT HOME FORM – DWDLLD – only win a typical tight 1-0. Have only played one of the top 10 at home, a 2-4 loss to WBA.

 

RECENT FORM OVERALL – DDDDWLDDLLWLDL – only 2 wins all season.  – Defeats v top 6 so far, draws against 7th to 11th inclusive builds a kind of a winless pattern for Blunderland.

 

GOAL TRENDS – 16% overs at home. Average under 1 goals a match all season.  Have conceded 3-2-2 against top 6 home and away this season.

 

STREAKS – 4 at home without a win.

 

AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Chelsea

 

RECENT AWAY FORM – WDWWDLL – defeats against West Brom and West Ham. Thankfully they are not playing West Sunderland.

 

RECENT OVERALL FORM – WWWDWWWWLDDLDDL – a sequence without a win, and a LDD sequence which, if continuing today will be a D.  All defeats this season have come against top 8 this season . Have played bottom 5 away without conceding ( not discounting 0-0 !)

 

GOAL TRENDS – 57% overs away from home.  Chelsea have failed to score in 3 all season, and 2 in last 3 matches.

 

STREAKS – have scored and conceded in last 5 awway. No win in 7.

 

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – Chelsea must end their winless sequence and it will end eventually. this match is tough to read becaus ethe new manager for Chelsea has already changed the team tactics.  A glimmer of hope for Chelsea in that they have played 2 of bottom 5 away without conceding. Chelsea seem to only lose against top teams. Sunderland have lost to top 6 and have not beaten any of top 11 home or away. We cannot discount the draw. There must be a reaction to 2 consecutive defeats for Chelsea and we may see that today with what is , after all, a team still 3rd in the league. Lay Sunderland?

 

 

3pm – Swansea v Norwich – 1.87 home

 

HEAD TO HEADS

 

11.02.2012 PR Swansea City 2-3 Norwich City
15.10.2011 PR Norwich City 3-1 Swansea City
09.04.2011 LCh Swansea City 3-0 Norwich City
21.08.2010 LCh Norwich City 2-0 Swansea City
11.04.2009 LCh Swansea City 2-1 Norwich City
15.11.2008 LCh Norwich City 2-3 Swansea City

 

Premiership head to heads are full of goals . Instnctually with these 2 , I see a buoyant Swansea versus a defensively sound Norwich.

 

LEAGUE POSITION

 

HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team

 

RECENT HOME FORM

 

RECENT FORM OVERALL

 

GOAL TRENDS

 

STREAKS

 

AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team

 

RECENT AWAY FORM

 

RECENT OVERALL FORM

 

GOAL TRENDS

 

STREAKS

 

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS

 

 

3pm – Wigan v QPR – 2.4 home

 

HEAD TO HEADS

 

21.01.2012 PR QPR 3-1 Wigan Athletic
27.08.2011 PR Wigan Athletic 2-0 QPR
23.04.2005 LCh Wigan Athletic 0-0 QPR
13.11.2004 LCh QPR 1-0 Wigan Athletic
22.03.2003 L1 QPR 0-1 Wigan Athletic
29.10.2002 L1 Wigan Athletic 1-1 QPR

 

 

LEAGUE POSITION

 

HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team

 

RECENT HOME FORM

 

RECENT FORM OVERALL

 

GOAL TRENDS

 

STREAKS

 

AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team

 

RECENT AWAY FORM

 

RECENT OVERALL FORM

 

GOAL TRENDS

 

STREAKS

 

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS

 

 

4pm – Paris St-G v Evian TG – 1.24 home

 

HEAD TO HEADS

 

04.02.2012 D1 Paris St. Germain 3-1 Évian Thonon Gaillard
18.09.2011 D1 Évian Thonon Gaillard 2-2 Paris St. Germain
10.07.2010 CF Évian Thonon Gaillard 1-2 Paris St. Germain
24.01.2010 Cup Paris St. Germain 3-1 Évian Thonon Gaillard

 

PSG get 2 or 3 in head to heads and with Ibra on fire, could go 3 again today.

 

LEAGUE POSITION – 4th v 17th – a very tight head of the league means a home match, when expected to win, should be a win.

 

HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team – PSG

 

RECENT HOME FORM – DDWWWLLW – a sticky 2 match losing streak ended recently.  Defeats v 3rd and 7th. Have beaten 15th, 18th and 19th at home and playing 17th today. No goals conceded against these bottom sides.

 

RECENT FORM OVERALL – DDDWWWWDWWLDLWL – 3 2-1 losses are the only ones this season. Have lost only to top 9 sides.

 

GOAL TRENDS – have only failed to score in 2nd and 3rd matches of the season. 50/50 overs at home. Have scored 8 at home in last 1/2 hour.  Only 1 clean sheet in last 5 matches.

 

STREAKS – no draw in 6 at home. Have scored in last 6 at home and last 12 overall.

 

AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Evian

 

RECENT AWAY FORM – LLLWLWW – no draw away but 3 wins in 4 is good form. Wins against 7th, 13th and 15th – lost 1-0 away to 2nd place so may not be the push over this time round that the odds suggest.

 

RECENT OVERALL FORM – LLDLWLDWLLLWDWD – no defeat in 4 includes 2 home draws against 3rd and 20th and away v 7th and 15th

 

GOAL TRENDS – 43% overs away from home. Have scored only 2 and conceded 7 away in the first half of matches. 5 scored away in 2nd half.  Only 2 clean sheets all season

 

STREAKS – 7 away without a draw. Have scored in last 4 away and last 5 overall.

 

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – PSG historically score 2 or 3 against Evian.  Have already beaten 15th, 18th and 19th at home this season without conceding and playing 17th today.  Overs are 50/50 for both sides so could go either way. 1-1 draw home v 1st, 1-0 loss away v 2nd and 2-2 home draw v 3rd means Evian could put up some resistance . Avoid a draw away again?

Only 2 clean sheets for Evian all season plays a PSG side scoring in all of last 12. An argument could be made for opposing 1.24 for the home side on the basis that Evian have been solid home and away v top 3, but then head to heads suggest PSG are capable of 2 or 3 at least.

 

 

5pm – Malaga v Granada – 1.52 home

 

HEAD TO HEADS

 

06.02.2012 D1 Granada CF 2-1 Málaga CF
12.09.2011 D1 Málaga CF 4-0 Granada CF
18.08.2010 CF Granada CF 1-0 Málaga CF

 

 

LEAGUE POSITION

 

HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team

 

RECENT HOME FORM

 

RECENT FORM OVERALL

 

GOAL TRENDS

 

STREAKS

 

AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team

 

RECENT AWAY FORM

 

RECENT OVERALL FORM

 

GOAL TRENDS

 

STREAKS

 

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS

 

 

645pm – AZ Alkmaar v Willem II – 1.24 home

 

HEAD TO HEADS

 

23.04.2011 D1 Willem II Tilburg 2-1 AZ Alkmaar
24.10.2010 D1 AZ Alkmaar 3-0 Willem II Tilburg
18.04.2010 D1 Willem II Tilburg 0-3 AZ Alkmaar
29.08.2009 D1 AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Willem II Tilburg
07.02.2009 D1 AZ Alkmaar 3-1 Willem II Tilburg
27.09.2008 D1 Willem II Tilburg 2-5 AZ Alkmaar

 

Scoring 2+ goals in last 5 matches augurs well, until the 2011 2-1 home win for Willem II – is this anomolous?

 

LEAGUE POSITION – 12th v 18th – AZ are not having the kind of a season we expect them to have.

 

HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team – AZ Alkmaar

 

RECENT HOME FORM – WDWDLLL – no win in 4 and you want me to back you at 1.24? Defeats against 5th, 7th and 16th and these the only defeats at home. All goals in the last 2 home defeats came in the 2nd half. Beat 17th 4-0 back in September – can this be relied upon?

 

RECENT FORM OVERALL – DWDLWLDLLWLDDLL – only 1 win in 10 matches and you want me to back you at 1.24! You’re funnier than Michael Macintyre.

 

GOAL TRENDS – 57% overs at home. Only 2 clean sheets all season. Have scored 7 at home in the first half of matches.

 

STREAKS – 3 match home losing streak. No win in 4 at home, 5 overall. No draw in 3 at home. Have conceded in last 10 overall and last 4 at home.

 

AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team – WILLEM II

 

RECENT AWAY FORM – DLDLLLL – no win away for Willem. Are they the right team for poorly performing AZ. Have failed to score in 4 away.

 

RECENT OVERALL FORM – DDLLLDLWLLLLLDW – only 2 wins have come at home against 11th and 13th  – remember AZ are 12th.

 

GOAL TRENDS – clean sheets in only 2 matches this season . Last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, in fact total goals of 6-5-3-4-4. 0.57 goals scored away on average. 57% overs away from home

 

STREAKS – 7 away without a win. 4 match losing streak away. No draw in 4 away. Have conceded in last 7 overall.

 

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – AZ are in terrible form. They beat 2nd bottom 4-0 back in September and 1.24 suggests a repeat. Historically they score 2 against Willem but Willem won last head to head. Last 5 matches for Willem have seen them royally spanked, over. 3.5 goals the norm.  Is this a chance for AZ to arrest poor form?I would rather be a layer at 1.24 but then the opposition is so poor. A match perhaps to leave alone.

 

 

7pm – Gent v Waasland-Beveren – 1.46 home

 

HEAD TO HEADS

 

18.08.2012 D1 RS Waasland-Beveren 0-2 KAA Gent

 

 

LEAGUE POSITION

 

HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team

 

RECENT HOME FORM

 

RECENT FORM OVERALL

 

GOAL TRENDS

 

STREAKS

 

AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team

 

RECENT AWAY FORM

 

RECENT OVERALL FORM

 

GOAL TRENDS

 

STREAKS

 

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS

 

 

7pm – Valladolid v Real Madrid – 1.29 away

 

HEAD TO HEADS

 

14.03.2010 D1 Real Valladolid 1-4 Real Madrid
17.10.2009 D1 Real Madrid 4-2 Real Valladolid
12.04.2009 D1 Real Madrid 2-0 Real Valladolid
15.11.2008 D1 Real Valladolid 1-0 Real Madrid
10.02.2008 D1 Real Madrid 7-0 Real Valladolid
23.09.2007 D1 Real Valladolid 1-1 Real Madrid

No recent head to heads for a couple of years.

 

LEAGUE POSITION – 7th v 3rd – Real are now 11 points adrift of Barca.

 

HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Valladolid

 

RECENT HOME FORM – WLWDDDW – only 1 loss at home.Sole defeat at home was a 0-1 v 4th.

 

RECENT FORM OVERALL – WWLLLWDLDWDLWW – 4 of the 5 defeats have come away. Have lost all 5 matches against the current top 6, losing 2-1 away to 2nd, 5th and 6th.

 

GOAL TRENDS – 29% overs at home. 0.86 conceded on average. Have failed to score in only 2 all season.

 

STREAKS – no defeat in 5 at home. have scored in last 5 at home and last 10 overall.

 

AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Real Madrid

 

RECENT AWAY FORM – LLWDWWL – shock 1-0 defeat last time out v Betis.

 

RECENT OVERALL FORM – DLWLWWDWWWWWLW – in very good form bar that Betis loss.

 

GOAL TRENDS – 57% overs away from home. Have scored 6 in first half in away matches and 6 in the last 1/2 hour of matches.

 

STREAKS – 7 overall without a draw. 3 awway without a draw.

 

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – avoiding draws suggests the win for Real , judged by their head to heads form.

 

 

745pm – Ajax v Groningen – 1.27 home

 

HEAD TO HEADS

 

22.04.2012 D1 AFC Ajax 2-0 FC Groningen
02.10.2011 D1 FC Groningen 1-0 AFC Ajax
10.04.2011 D1 AFC Ajax 2-0 FC Groningen
08.08.2010 D1 FC Groningen 2-2 AFC Ajax
28.03.2010 D1 AFC Ajax 3-0 FC Groningen
12.01.2010 CF AFC Ajax 1-1 FC Groningen

 

 

LEAGUE POSITION

 

HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team

 

RECENT HOME FORM

 

RECENT FORM OVERALL

 

GOAL TRENDS

 

STREAKS

 

AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team

 

RECENT AWAY FORM

 

RECENT OVERALL FORM

 

GOAL TRENDS

 

STREAKS

 

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS

 

 

830pm – Porto v Moreirense – 1.13 home

 

HEAD TO HEADS

 

21.11.2010 Cup Moreirense FC 0-1 FC Porto
08.05.2005 D1 Moreirense FC 1-1 FC Porto
17.12.2004 D1 FC Porto 1-0 Moreirense FC
28.03.2004 D1 FC Porto 1-0 Moreirense FC
09.11.2003 D1 Moreirense FC 1-1 FC Porto
19.04.2003 D1 FC Porto 2-1 Moreirense FC

 

 

LEAGUE POSITION

 

HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team

 

RECENT HOME FORM

 

RECENT FORM OVERALL

 

GOAL TRENDS

 

STREAKS

 

AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team

 

RECENT AWAY FORM

 

RECENT OVERALL FORM

 

GOAL TRENDS

 

STREAKS

 

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS

 

SUNDAY BETTING TAKEN FROM oddschecker AS BETFAIR DOES NOT HAVE SUNDAY COUPON UP YET

 

9th December 2012- SUNDAY

 

 

 

130pm – Man City v United – 2.3 home

 

HEAD TO HEADS

 

LEAGUE POSITION

 

HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team

 

RECENT HOME FORM

 

RECENT FORM OVERALL

 

GOAL TRENDS

 

STREAKS

 

AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team

 

RECENT AWAY FORM

 

RECENT OVERALL FORM

 

GOAL TRENDS

 

STREAKS

 

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS

 

2pm – Palermo v Juve – 1.7 away

 

HEAD TO HEADS

 

LEAGUE POSITION

 

HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team

 

RECENT HOME FORM

 

RECENT FORM OVERALL

 

GOAL TRENDS

 

STREAKS

 

AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team

 

RECENT AWAY FORM

 

RECENT OVERALL FORM

 

GOAL TRENDS

 

STREAKS

 

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS

 

3pm – Everton v Spurs – 2.1 home

 

HEAD TO HEADS

 

LEAGUE POSITION

 

HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team

 

RECENT HOME FORM

 

RECENT FORM OVERALL

 

GOAL TRENDS

 

STREAKS

 

AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team

 

RECENT AWAY FORM

 

RECENT OVERALL FORM

 

GOAL TRENDS

 

STREAKS

 

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS

 

330pm – PSV v Twente – 1.67 home

 

HEAD TO HEADS

 

LEAGUE POSITION

 

HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team

 

RECENT HOME FORM

 

RECENT FORM OVERALL

 

GOAL TRENDS

 

STREAKS

 

AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team

 

RECENT AWAY FORM

 

RECENT OVERALL FORM

 

GOAL TRENDS

 

STREAKS

 

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS

 

4pm – West Ham v Liverpool – 2.5 away

 

HEAD TO HEADS

27.02.2011 PR West Ham 3-1 Liverpool FC
20.11.2010 PR Liverpool FC 3-0 West Ham
19.04.2010 PR Liverpool FC 3-0 West Ham
19.09.2009 PR West Ham 2-3 Liverpool FC
09.05.2009 PR West Ham 0-3 Liverpool FC
01.12.2008 PR Liverpool FC 0-0 West Ham

the number 3 pervades , Liverpool scoring 3 on 4 occasions and WEst Ham replying in last head to head.

LEAGUE POSITION – 8th v 11th – Sam doing a good job so far.

 

HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team – West Ham

 

RECENT HOME FORM – WWDLWDDW – only Arsenal have beaten Hammers at home.

 

RECENT FORM OVERALL – WLWDDWLWLDWDLLW – recent defeats against United and Spurs both away from home. Beat Chelsea 3-1 last match – superb stuff and could offer hope against an improving Liverpool.

 

GOAL TRENDS – 50/50 overs. 0.88 conceded at home on average. A good sign defensively.Hammers have led at home in only 2 of 8 matches.

 

STREAKS – 4 at home without defeat. Have scored and conceded in last 2.

 

AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Liverpool

 

RECENT AWAY FORM – LDWDDDL – poor away form, although losing only 2, have won only 1. Like Hammers, Liverpool have recently been beaten by Spurs. No wins against 3rd to 7th inclusive ( playing 8th today).

 

RECENT OVERALL FORM – LDLDLWDWDDDWDLW – only 1 defeat in 10 v Spurs away  5 draws in last 9 relay the problems . No wins against top 10 home or away this season.

Wins against 12th away, 16th at home, 18th and 19th at home. Flattering to deceive?

 

GOAL TRENDS – 57% overs away from home – have led at halftime in only 1 of 7 away matches. – Suarez the key man away with 6 goals.

 

STREAKS- 4 away without a win.

 

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – Liverpool’s wins seem to flatter to deceive. They have not beaten the top 10 home or away but still they have only lost 1 of last 9 overall. Draws are the problems for Liverpool. West Ham’s win against Chelsea puts a spanner in the works. I was going to conclude that they are vulnerable to the top sides, with losses to the likes of United, Spurs and Arsenal. Tough to call. I can see West Ham being strong at home, but then I can see Liverpool not losing.  Nothing stands out for me re an angle in here!

 

6pm – Atl Madrid – v Deportive – 1.32 home

 

HEAD TO HEADS

 

 

11.08.2012 CF Deportivo La Coruña 2-2/p.4-3 Atlético Madrid
30.04.2011 D1 Deportivo La Coruña 0-1 Atlético Madrid
11.12.2010 D1 Atlético Madrid 2-0 Deportivo La Coruña
04.04.2010 D1 Atlético Madrid 3-0 Deportivo La Coruña
21.11.2009 D1 Deportivo La Coruña 2-1 Atlético Madrid
10.08.2009 CF Deportivo La Coruña 1-1 Atlético Madrid

Recent history, bar friendlies, points to advantage Madrid

 

LEAGUE POSITION – 2nd v 20th – hmm the other Madrid are 2nd !! Cracking season.

 

HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Atl Madrd

 

RECENT HOME FORM – WWWWWWW – have scored 2+ at home and scored 4 and 3 against 15th and 16th

 

RECENT FORM OVERALL – DWWWWWWWWLWWWL – defeats creeping in against Real Madrid and Valencia away

 

GOAL TRENDS – 86% overs at home – have scored in all home matches.Have only conceded 2 at home in the first half, scoring 13

 

STREAKS – 7 match winning streak at home – no draw in 13, 2 consecutive home clean sheets.

 

AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Deportivo

 

RECENT AWAY FORM – DDLLDLD – no win away against a team like Madrid and it does not look like ending in a win today.only 1 match away to top 10 was a 5-1 mauling at the hands of Real madrid

 

RECENT OVERALL FORM – WDDDLLLLDWLLDL – no win in 4 and only 2 wins all season at home to 16th and 17th

 

GOAL TRENDS – 57% overs away from home. Have scored and conceded in all away matches this season.

 

STREAKS – 7 away without a win. Have scored and conceded in last 7 away.

 

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – on sole visit to top 10 sides, Deportivo got spanked by Real Madrid away. They have scored and conceded in all matches away and have only played the 1 away to top 10 so difficult to gauge their performances .Bottom of La Liga,  a chance that Atl Madrid can deliver a 4th consecutive head to head clean sheet. Only 2 defeats for Atl v Real and Valencia away. 7 wins at home plays 7 without a win . Should be a canter win for atl but remember Depo could surprise as they are yet to play 9 of the top 10 away. 86% overs for Atl could be the trigger for neutral goals bettors.

 

8pm – Betis v barca – 1.33 away – this will be severely compromised if the Argentinian genius is absent, after injury in the Champions League on Wednesday.

 

HEAD TO HEADS

12.05.2012 D1 Real Betis 2-2 FC Barcelona
15.01.2012 D1 FC Barcelona 4-2 Real Betis
19.01.2011 Cup Real Betis 3-1 FC Barcelona
12.01.2011 Cup FC Barcelona 5-0 Real Betis
14.02.2009 D1 Real Betis 2-2 FC Barcelona
24.09.2008 D1 FC Barcelona 3-2 Real Betis

Overs anyone? And how about over 4.5 goals for the traders?

LEAGUE POSITION – 4th v 1st – good season for Betis.

 

 

HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Betis

 

RECENT HOME FORM – LWLWWLW  – no draw at home. Lost 2-4 to 2nd and beat Real Madrid 1-0. Other home defeats have been 1-2 against 11th and 18th.

 

RECENT FORM OVERALL – WLWWLLWDWWLLWW – only 1 draw all season

 

GOAL TRENDS – 43% overs at home -have scored in all matches at home. Start well at home, scoring 6 in first 1/4 hour. Have scored first at home in 5 of 7 matches.

 

STREAKS – 7 at home without a draw. Have scored in last 7 at home.

 

AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Barca – Messi crocked mid week. Soccerway does not mention Messi in the list of sidelined players.

 

RECENT AWAY FORM – WWWWWWW – nuff said. Not played any of top 5 away so be careful

 

RECENT OVERALL FORM – WWWWWWDWWWWWWW – draw against Real Madrid almost inevitably.

 

GOAL TRENDS – 100% overs away from home. Have scored in all matches this season.. 3.43 scored on average each match. 18 scored in 2nd half away. 13 away goals for Messi – if he is injured it could be real trouble.

 

STREAKS – 7 match away winning streak. 7 match overall winning streak. No defeat in 14. Have scored in 14.

 

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – barca are exemplary and any confidence in them and concomitant goals will rely only on the appearance of Messi. He was injured midweek and with 13 away goals is the key player.

Both teams should score. Betis are no mugs -but they did mug Real Madrid 1-0 at home. No draw at home for betis, only 2 draws between these 2.

Over 4.5 goals would be a trader’s start with the head to heads and with Barca away. This match rests on Barca team news.