Morrissey famously wrote “Manchester – so much to answer for” and last weekend the two Manchester Clubs answered.
And what a way to answer! Both clubs went behind in their prospective matches and eventually (and rather predictably) went on to win. Imagine the odds for Manchester United when 0-2 down away from home? Imagine being able to lay Sunderland at nearly 2.00 odds or back Manchester City at nearly 5/1?
Imagine no more, because that’s what you could have done last week!
And Werthers? Toffees of course! Everton got in on the act, falling to a Sunderland goal, then eventually going on to win. As my close showbiz pal Jimmy Cricket would say “And there’s more!”
Swansea average 2.82 goals scored and conceded per match, Saints average 4 goals scored and conceded per match. It’s 0-0 at half time. What do you do?
You lay 0-0 at a much lower price than pre match in the hope one of these teams contrive to concede a goal.
Which almost inevitably they did!
This is the 3rd eletter in a row in which I have given you outstanding examples of Delay-React-Trade bets and it’s ample proof that this phenomenon continues to churn out value bets/trades week in and week out.
So what are you waiting for this weekend? Create your own value bets by waiting for sure things to concede first. You can use my research on the What Really Wins Money website to guide you towards teams highly likely to win (and therefore a possible shock if the underdog scores first).
It’s easy really. Focus on odds on shots, the shorter the better, preferably at home. Make sure the match is in play. Get up futbol24 . Wait for a “ding”. If the Underdog has scored first, then get stuck in.
So, this Saturday for instance, I’d be making a note of the likes of Ajax,Dortmund, Real Madrid, Barcelona, Man City, there are some away sides to consider (remember Man Utd were away last weekend) in Man Utd, Porto, Bayern Munich.
It’s only fecking Chelt-ing-ham!
Some really exciting jumps racing at Cheltenham this weekend, can give us an opportunity to do some Miss Marple-esque deduction work in uncovering some possible each way bets. You’ll recall a few weeks ago I took you through a few Jumps races, and did quite well.
There is one race today which fits the profile for the kind of each way race you should play in (remember each way betting means we are backing a horse to win and to place. If the horse finishes 2nd or 3rd, we still get paid out in 8+ runner races.
Get to know these kinds of races.
Why? Firstly they are 8 runner races. This means that bookies and Betfair will pay out on the first 3 places. 8 is the minimum number of runners required to pay out for 3 places.
A look at the race card tells us this is competitive. All of the horses have won at this distance. 2 of the horses are court and distance winners.
There is a short priced favourite. Remember this is a jumps race so conceivably the horse could make a jumping error at some stage. If we presume that Magic Spear and Ted Dolly will not finish in the first 3, this becomes a 6 runner race for 3 places – or what I would call a “50-50 race”. For me, Court Minstrel is a good each way chance. Why?
Well he’s 4th in the betting forecast (not an outsider but near enough to the market leaders). Court Minstrel is a course and distance winner (note the CD next to his name). The only time Court Minstrel was unplaced (4th) was when he was priced at 33/1.
At best priced (currently) 7/1 with Sky Bet, Bet365 and StanJames, we should get a run for our money.
Try this Jumps each way method yourself if other 8 or 9 runner jumps races surface this weekend.
More on Maria…
I introduced you to a selection strategy for the quite famous Maria Staking Plan (which, legend has it, turned £3000 into £100,000). As I wrote last weekend, the selection strategy was a little open ended. It is impractical to assume we will be looking at every horse in every race.
So how can we limit selections?
How about looking for races which are competitive?
Competitive horse races could be the following:
- High class races.
- Races, as above with our Cheltenham race, with nearly all of the horses distance and /or course winners.
- Big field races. The more competitors, the harder it is to find a winner, the easier it is to find a loser. 12 runners minimum therefore
- A focus on handicap races? After all, aren’t handicap races the very epitomy of competitive races
My selection strategy is coming together. All I need now is to record results and hopefully mirror Maria’s performance! Here’s hoping.