Surpisingly big price (relatively speaking) for Maimoona at 5/4 -another HTB/price gapper wins
Boz continued his winning relationship with Jamie Spencer. Heathcote unseated rider – I should have seen the “beginners chase!”
No luck with the O’Briens and Smullens but the winners will come soon
I missed the RAngers match last night – pity – under 2.5 goals comes in again as Walter Smith does a Mohammed Ali – soak up the pressure and pounce ( this time on penalties)
700 BANGOR
BETTING FORECAST: 2/1 Starburst Diamond, 5/2 Fourty Acers, 7/2 Supreme Builder, 9/1 Peters Star, 11/1 Isaac Newton, 12/1 Innox, 20/1 Jorveybrook, Red Square Express, 66/1 Ronan The Warrior, 100/1 Outclass
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Fourty Acers is interesting on the switch back to hurdles but there should be more to come from STARBURST DIAMOND (nap), whose stable has continued in irrepressible form this week
An interesting betting forecast hinting at 3 strong contenders priced below 9/1 -Forty acers and Supreme Builder are backable to level stakes – with such a tight front 3, I think the fav is worth taking on. At 7/2 and 4/1 the 2 mentioned are backable and effectively 3/1 returns if they win
CORK
520
Continuing the monitoring of Weld/Smullen (ideally each way) selections, Dream Forever in the 1st although it must be said that this is a 2 year old maiden and money moves will signal any strong bets
620
Although not Weld trained, Harrington under Smullen is an each way price
650 – RAnsomed Bride -preference to place only with a bit on the win
DUNDALK
735
BETTING FORECAST: 4/6 Slam Dunk, 5/2 Fay Street, 7/1 Mister Bannon, 8/1 Slayer, 25/1 Tau Tona, 33/1 Pamparovo, 66/1 Rio Rouge.
Slam Dunk had 5 chances – must be getting close to getting that “1” in the form figures
840
BETTING FORECAST: 3/1 Cochlear, 4/1 Princely Hero, 5/1 Rockazar, 7/1 Fancy Feathers, 8/1 Breaker Morant, Lake Pontchartrain, Maximo, 12/1 Dream Rainbow, Fields Of Green, Fleeting Moment, 14/1 Fereeji, 16/1 Borouj, 20/1 Akshar.
Weld’s princely Hero is backable each way and as provisional 2nd fav gives us a chance
With the above, I am experimenting really to see how effective it would be to blanket back Weld/Smullen and Weld trained and Smullen ridden horses. No Ballydoyle runners today
610 FONTWELL
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Lupanar, 15/8 Maraafeq, 11/4 Special Day, 25/1 Hawk Gold, 28/1 Wiesenfurst, 50/1 Bellestani, Podium Pete .
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: MARAAFEQ was back on track with a good effort in defeat against quite a decent sort last time and assuming he is again at his best now, may be too strong for Lupanar, who ran well enough at a longer trip here last time but needs to conclusively prove he is still as effective at this sort of distance.
Maraafeq is the drifter on the exchanges BUT Hawk Gold is 20/1 at present – if touching 16/1 I will back each way. As things stand level stakes on Lupinar and Special day will load profit on Special day who has been the market mover
710 FONTWELL
BETTING FORECAST: 8/13 Prime Contender, 4/1 Sonnengold, 5/1 Highland Games, 12/1 Harcourt, 16/1 Cusp, 25/1 Bold Trump, 40/1 Dauphin Des Carres, 50/1 Night Groove .
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: PRIME CONTENDER does have a slight stamina query to answer but his recent good efforts in this grade make him tough to oppose, especially as the one horse who could possibly beat him on these terms, Highland Games, has a major question about him on current form. Sonnengold may be next best, ahead of Highland Games
A claiming hurdle ( I’ll get me coat!) but speculative on Bold Trump each way – current move to 16/1
240 LINGFIELD
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Masaalek, 5/1 Pride Of India, 11/2 Meydan Dubai, 8/1 Connor´s Choice, Thumbs Up, 12/1 Ivory Silk, 14/1 Nightjar, 16/1 First Tracks, Ma Al Salamah, Style Icon, 33/1 Cape Tycoon, 50/1 Ma Ridge .
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: If it is accepted that Meydan Dubai’s proximity at Royal Ascot was misleading, it is MASAALEK who has done easily the best of these so far. Pride Of India and Thumbs Up need market checks
MEydan Dbai looks to be a non runner leaving this at the mercy of Masaalek and Pride of India –
1.82 Masaalek stakes £24 gives a profit of £12.68
4.6 Pride of India stakes £7 effectively break even
250 MUSSELBRGH
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Harwalla, 6/1 Go Nani Go, Honimiere, 7/1 Peninsular War, 8/1 Amorachy, 10/1 Canclodacancan, 20/1 Glenlini .
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Amorachy failed to come up to market expectations on his debut and is probably capable of better, while there are reasons for anticipating a bold show from the newcomers Go Nani Go and Honimiere, but HARWALLA’s Nottingham debut second looks solid early-season form and he has an obvious chance to go one bette
Go nani go to place at 1.6 – market move to 9/4 could be significant given it’s a maiden
320
BETTING FORECAST: 8/13 First Buddy, 8/1 Chicken George, 10/1 Moheebb, Trimlestown, 12/1 Mystical Ayr, 14/1 Bed Fellow, Prince Samos, 16/1 Regent´s Secret, 50/1 Wilmington .
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The drop back to this trip will not be a problem for FIRST BUDDY who is ahead of the handicapper here following last Saturday’s Haydock romp and he will be hard to beat.[AC]
Another price gapper/hard to beat? – not a multiple handicapper so no winning sequence to end – perhaps one to start?
With my friend Lesley over I’ve been unable to do the 3 into 1’s so once she’s gone I’ll catch up and see how the over evens prices are performing
FOOTY
Both Nantes and Le Havre are away and their opposition look worth laying to cover the draw.