In contrast to great Knight , Every second made no mistake yesterday. These types of races are worth noting for the strong chance the fav has of placing at least. Multiple placed maidens will win eventually .
Tarzan, at 7/4 was a great lay, finishing 5th. Bridgewater boys won at odds on, so that lay perished, but Marie Louise lost at 11/8 SP. WEald Park won at evens
Impossible Dream -Smullen – 1st 12/1
Westphalia – 1st 2/5 – Born to be king unplaced 10/1
310 – 2 unpalced at 11/1
345 – 2nd 9/2 – unpalced 6/1
415 – 1st 4/1 and 4th 6/1
445 – 1st 1/2 and last 40/1
515 – 3rd 5/2 and 5th 11/2
TODAY – again action at the Curragh. Nice for the 12/1, 2/5, 4/1, 1/2 winners yesterday. Probably will pay to be a bit more picky today with all qualifying selections, as Aiden O’Brien will adopt his usual pacesetter tactics with multiple entrants.
Races such as the 310 see multiple Aiden O’Brien entrants – in a small field, I will infact go against convention and back the 20/1 and 40/1 entrants each way – it’s races like this where possible surprises occur
Again prices in the 350 indicate , of the 4 O’Brien entrants, one is fancied. Hindu kush is fresh in my mind after an, ahem, surprise 25/1 win last time which I availed myself of last time. Far too many to be ecomomical with the ebtting so the 500/1 and 100/1 entrants can be ignored from both the Weld and O’Brien stables.
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Mohanad, 11/2 Oratory, 7/1 Dreamwalk, Supernoverre, 14/1 Perfect Shot, Spit And Polish, 16/1 Captain Walcot, The Cheka, 33/1 Crystallize
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The betting should give an idea of the strength of the threat presented by the newcomers, but MOHANAD’s second at York sets a good standard and he has obvious prospects
Oratory 5/2 currently – significant? And it’s not because of the non runner who ,at 16/1 betting forecast, won’t affect prices. Looks good for a place
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Special Reserve, 3/1 Craigstown, 6/1 Sinaaf, 8/1 Purely By Chance, 10/1 Lobby, 12/1 Chioroscuro, Kijani, 66/1 Age Of Miracles
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Special Reserve and Craigstown set the standard but they have had a few chances and there could be some mileage in taking them on here. Sinaaf is a possible, but LOBBY is bred to appreciate this longer trip and may be worth chancing now tried in a tongue ti
Special Reserve – as I talked about earlier – look at the form of this maiden – 32227 – the 7 coming in a class 2 race at Epsom.
Booked for a place I would suggest and perhaps his turn for a 1 in the form book
215 UTTOXETER – looks a good race to dutch outsiders and leave the front 3 out of the equation. Small stakes and potential big rewards – far vbetter than lumping on the hot pot
Wilkandoo unimpressive in victory at a very short price 3 days ago may be worth taking on. A big price, relaitvely speaking for a lay, but I’ll chance
The big one tonight – Racing Club versus Belgrano ! – only kidding
Michael Bollock is an injury doubt tonight – yes the German nation might miss this egotistical whinger! Spain look to have too much for the ultra efficient germans.
I am contemplating a lay the draw scenario again although what part will nerves and not wanting to concede play on the minds of the players and managers well, we’ll have to wait and see.
If 0-0 at half time, I will back OVER 2.5 goals at enhanced odds hoping for fireworks second half.