Well the whole point of following O’Brien and Weld /Smullen was because they would get some big priced winners – and so it came with Henrey the Navigator at 11/1 – D’oh! Should have stuck with my “system” instead of second guessing – lesson learned and also it shows you that these trainer/jockey combos will compensate for losers with big priced winners where they’re not expected!
The horse racing was poor for me yesterday, compensated again by a great performance with the footy betsGOWRAN PARK
200 – Weld/Smullen on Mr Topaz – fancied but in a debutant maiden in soft ground – 11/4 currently hints at place only betting with a little on the win
305 – Rock Critic each way – again looks like the horse can be competitive at least for a place
335
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Hebridean, 7/4 Unwritten Rule, 5/1 Ebadiyan, 6/1 Minneapolis, 10/1 Kitty Hawk Miss, 12/1 Starluck.
3 horses for O’Brien and Weld/Wmullen and they have the 2 market principles – at current prices of 2.78 and 3.15 both can be backed to level stakes, but again soft ground is a featre
410 – Chinesewhite and soinlovewithyou – the former backed to win at 7/4 currently and the latter an each way shot
445 – Adored, Love to dance and Perihilion for Aiden O’Brien, and Smullen is on board Lakil Princess – all each way prices
520 – Beachbound for Weld/Smullen
As we saw yesterday, if I stck to my guns, I’d have bagged an 11/1 winner. A difficult day with soft ground but let’s see how these guys progress
440 HAmilton
BETTING FORECAST: 8/11 Evelith Regent, 9/4 Lochiel, 10/1 Livvy Inn, 14/1 Prince Rhyddarch, 20/1 Arch, 25/1 Wee Ellie Coburn, 50/1 Deer Park Lord .
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: In an uncompetitive race it’s hard to get away from bumper winner EVELITH REGENT, who showed more than enough on his Flat debut to suggest he’s a player in this company.
Price gapper/HTB in Eleveth Regent – all tips – top rpr – postdata selection –
NEGATIVES – Lochiel nearby but out to 3/1 at present – maiden in a poor class
2 horse race so a 50/50 chance and 8/11 is reasonable if these HTB selections are used independently with a good staking plan
240 NEWMARKET
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Getaway, 4/1 Galactic Star, 5/1 Sixties Icon, 8/1 Tranquil Tiger, 10/1 Malt Or Mash, 14/1 Dragon Dancer, 16/1 Gower Song, Yellowstone, 25/1 Balkan Knight, 33/1 Under The Rainbow .
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Andre Fabre’s first step in reinventing GETAWAY from stayer into 1m4f horse had an eyecatching result in the Arc when he entered the straight last and ended up in a close and fast-closing fourth. The trainer won this in 2006 with Shirocco in the same colours and has a decent chance to take it again. The chief stumbling block – a big one – would be Sixties Icon if he returned to the form which won him this in style last year. Galactic Star is a Group winner in waiting
Galactic star each way
320
The 1000 guineas and Savethisdancefor me and Lady Deauville are the O’Brien representatives , both backable each way although one is at 150/1!
FOOTY
Unappealing betting mediums at this time of year -Liverpool are at home and must be feeing the match last week? Man City are in turmoil though and worth opposing? Rangers must win but their game congestion is a worry – 8/11 is enticing though
The Arse are at home against Everton.
A chance to see if the treble bet will work today – remember 2 teams at home at 4/7 or near, and 1 at 1/3 or near
Arsenal vs Everton 8/13 13/5 5/1
Naestved vs Olstykke 1/3 18/5 13/2
Palace vs Burnley 4/11 3/1 6/1
Sheffield Weds vs Norwich 4/7 5/2 4/1
Wolves vs Plymouth 4/9 11/4 5/1
Parma vs Genoa 4/9 11/4 5/1
Liverpool vs Manchester City 8/13 5/2 5/1
Sevilla vs Valladolid 1/2 5/2 5/1
Villarreal vs Getafe 4/7 5/2 4/1
Racing Santander vs Murcia 2/5 3/1 11/2
Barcelona vs Valencia8/13 5/2 7/2
So ,my treble will be Naestved, along with Sevilla and Wolves – around a 2/1 payout