The PERFECT probability bet yesterday – imagine the scene – 6 runners reduced to 5 – 2 runners of those 5 are at 100/1 – leaving 3 with realistic chances to fill 2 for place betting purposes – fav is a winner on heavy ground. Now don’t tell me you need to know about horse racing to suss that out – it’s pure common sense isn’t it?
550 GREAST LEIGHS
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Kansai Spirit, 9/2 Love Pegasus, 5/1 Manahej, 6/1 Laurie Grove, 14/1 Majd Aljazeera, 20/1 Lord Of The Dance, 25/1 Elliptical, Great Western, Oke Bay, Woodlark Island, 33/1 Great Bounder, 100/1 Dancelectic
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Probably a decent maiden with some interesting newcomers – Lord Of The Dance and Manahej take the eye on paper – and once-raced likely improvers in Laurie Grove and Love Pegasus lining up, but KANSAI SPIRIT sets a useful standard on form and is the one to beat.[
nice pprice gap but a maiden so not really of interest given the lack of form of the contenders 2.06 / 1.19
920
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Distinctive Image, 5/1 Mick´s Dancer, Summer Winds, 7/1 Randama Bay, Rio Guru, Totally Focussed, 14/1 Lady Sorcerer
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The one that appeals most is the unexposed DISTINCTIVE IMAGE, who created a good impression when scoring over C&D last time and who is open to plenty of further improvement.
0-60 handicap and only 2 the place so would not be my ideal choice 2.34 / 1.56 – the price itself should tell you that this is competitive
140 HAYDOCK
BETTING FORECAST: 10/11 Woolfall Treasure, 11/8 Balzaccio, 8/1 Nino Cochise, 20/1 River Ardeche, 66/1 Barney Again
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Gary Moore has been true to his word about giving blinkers a whirl on Woolfall Treasure, who will be a tough nut to crack if they work, but Alan King has good lines to this season’s juvenile form and, in receipt of 6lb, BALZACCIO is taken to fulfil the promise of his debut defeat by a subsequent Wetherby Listed winner.
2 horse race in prospect – again only 2 the place but these 2 by themselves make over 100% of the book
1.99/ 1.22
2.38 /1.24
120 LING
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Rebecca De Winter, 5/2 Smokey Ryder, 3/1 Woolston Ferry, 14/1 Tartan Turban, 16/1 Officer Mor, 20/1 Barcode, 33/1 Claphands, Old Sarum, Readily, 50/1 Multi Tasker, Turn To Dreams, 66/1 Fleur De´Lion
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Outstanding on form, Rebecca De Winter would not be the easiest to place with her mark of 88 but it is still a little surprising to see her entered to be claimed for just £10,000 and there is an obvious doubt over her ability to reproduce the useful form she showed in the first half of the year. The step up to 6f is another possible negative and she is passed over in favour of SMOKEY RYDER who can overcome the outside draw to confirm last week’s superiority over Woolston Ferry
A claimer but a 3 horse race?
Smokey and Woolston seem to be non runners leaving the market leader 1.68 / 1.18 – an ideal candidate given market rivals are out
Towcester is a chaaracteristic track and one I will leave alone given the killer hill
My one today I think has to be Rebecca de Wintergiven the absence of the near market rivals