Starry Sky won, -another progressive maiden fav – Safari Sundowner could only manage 3rd – good lay – Once a gulch won so lay went down – ditto Holiday Cocktail – big price for a lay and he broke the sequence of alternate wins – it’s all about making the right decisions! Asker Tua down to 1.45 so no problems liability wise as this lay won
Now you see why I insist on odds on laying! My little experiment yesterday with bigger prices didnt work
PRICE GAPPERS/ WiNNING GAP (ish)
Starry Sky 1st 8/11
Once a Gulch 1st 9/2
Vilna 2nd 10/11
Holiday Cocktail 1st 4/1
Olympic Dream 2nd 7/2
Thumbs up 2nd 7/4
ASker Tua 1st 4/11
All placed and nice priced winners – just luck – there was nothing to distinguish or reduce selections and no analysis of each qualifier
Surely this is not simply a “look for a price gap and leave it at that system” but some interesting results all the same.
625 BATH
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Rioliina, 4/1 Via Mia, 5/1 Wake Me Now, 11/2 Bold Ring, 8/1 Phoenix Enforcer, 20/1 Erris Lady, Spinning Bailiwick, Yanza
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The market will clearly be revealing as regards expectations for the newcomers but RIOLIINA shaped with distinct promise on her debut at Newbury and, as a daughter of Captain Rio, today’s easier conditions should be to her likin
Fav layable if staying around 5/4 – again only the single run and some newcomers in attendance
700
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Like For Like, 7/2 August Days, 5/1 Frame And Cover, 10/1 Cwmni, Intrepid Lady, 14/1 Jimwasright, 20/1 Makaluna, Tyler
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: This really is the last-chance saloon for LIKE FOR LIKE, who must go close unless she’s gone at the game completely. Frame And Cover and August Days will be popular choices for those seeking an alternative to the Hannon fill
A poor seller and an odds on shot who is terrible – layable because of lack of consistency in this grade
300 BRIGHTON
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Cavendish Road, 15/8 Bad Baron, 3/1 Hameildaeme, 14/1 Spit And Polish, 20/1 Lyonesse, Persian Tomcat
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: CAVENDISH ROAD will be hard to beat if repeating his penultimate effort and he has an edge in experience over Bad Baron, which should count for plenty round here.
A 3 horse race here – lay the shortest price given the near rivals?
BETTING FORECAST: 10/11 Casual Garcia, 9/2 Trigger´s Friend, 10/1 Lapina, Trew Style, 12/1 Daring Racer, Prince Of Medina, 16/1 Synonymy, 25/1 Bulberry Hill, Lysander´s Quest
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: It’s hard to look beyond the progressive trailblazer CASUAL GARCIA, who silenced any stamina doubts when impressing last week and is an obvious candidate to follow up for his thriving yard.
Trigger Friend each way for me
240 HAY
BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Caranbola, 11/4 Sneak Preview, 7/2 Rafiqa, 9/2 Madame Trop Vite, 8/1 First City
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Not easy to eliminate any of the quintet from calculations. Sneak Preview and Rafiqa, in particular, are open to plenty of improvement, but CARANBOLA sets a decent standard and will not go under without a fight
BAck both outsiders each way “not easy to eliminate any of the quintet”
615 SAND
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Le Toreador, 4/1 Heaven, 5/1 Ridge Wood Dani, 11/2 Barbary Boy, 6/1 Blue Jack, 11/1 Ten Down, 20/1 Our Acquaintance, 33/1 Extreme North
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: With his good claimer’s allowance a big help, LE TOREADOR may well be able to defy a 9lb rise since winning at Pontefract last time and complete a four-timer. Significant rain would diminish confidence in him though, as it would with Ridge Wood Dani, who otherwise rates the main danger
Le Toreador looks worth laying today on a 4 timer with a 7lb claimer
PRICE GAPPERS /WINNING GAP (again no analysis -just listing them)
625 BATH
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Rioliina, 4/1 Via Mia, 5/1 Wake Me Now, 11/2 Bold Ring, 8/1 Phoenix Enforcer, 20/1 Erris Lady, Spinning Bailiwick, Yanza
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The market will clearly be revealing as regards expectations for the newcomers but RIOLIINA shaped with distinct promise on her debut at Newbury and, as a daughter of Captain Rio, today’s easier conditions should be to her liking
700
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Like For Like, 7/2 August Days, 5/1 Frame And Cover, 10/1 Cwmni, Intrepid Lady, 14/1 Jimwasright, 20/1 Makaluna, Tyler
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: This really is the last-chance saloon for LIKE FOR LIKE, who must go close unless she’s gone at the game completely. Frame And Cover and August Days will be popular choices for those seeking an alternative to the Hannon filly
605 FOLK
BETTING FORECAST: 10/11 Casual Garcia, 9/2 Trigger´s Friend, 10/1 Lapina, Trew Style, 12/1 Daring Racer, Prince Of Medina, 16/1 Synonymy, 25/1 Bulberry Hill, Lysander´s Quest
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: It’s hard to look beyond the progressive trailblazer CASUAL GARCIA, who silenced any stamina doubts when impressing last week and is an obvious candidate to follow up for his thriving yard
745 FOLK
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Galpin Junior, 9/2 Secret Society, 11/2 Dannios, 6/1 Five Star Junior, Rocoppelia, 12/1 Nala, 14/1 Reel Ale, 25/1 Rebel City, 33/1 Itainteasybeingme, Orangeleg
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: GALPIN JUNIOR lived up to his breeding when making a very promising first impression at Salisbury and, with scope for significant improvement, it will be disappointing if he’s not up to winning this.
815 FOLK
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Tilsworth Charlie, 4/1 Overwing, 11/2 Mugeba, 7/1 Lady Fas, 8/1 Gower Belle, Miss Poppy, 14/1 Ishibee
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: TILSWORTH CHARLIE (nap) has been found an excellent opportunity to supplement her recent ready Thirsk victory.
615 SANDOWN
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Le Toreador, 4/1 Heaven, 5/1 Ridge Wood Dani, 11/2 Barbary Boy, 6/1 Blue Jack, 11/1 Ten Down, 20/1 Our Acquaintance, 33/1 Extreme North .
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: With his good claimer’s allowance a big help, LE TOREADOR may well be able to defy a 9lb rise since winning at Pontefract last time and complete a four-timer. Significant rain would diminish confidence in him though, as it would with Ridge Wood Dani, who otherwise rates the main danger.
650 SANDOWN
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 On Our Way, 7/2 Dreamwalk, 4/1 Atabaas Allure, 15/2 Hambledon Hill, 16/1 Arushore, 20/1 Blue Dynasty, 25/1 Khan Tengri, 33/1 Corredor Sun, Harlestone Snake .
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: On Our Way ran a race full of promise on his debut but the form has taken a few knocks and he may be worth taking on with DREAMWALK, who has run solid races in decent maidens and should relish the step up to 1m. Atabaas Allure is also likely to get involved
350 YARM
BETTING FORECAST: 6/5 Certain Promise, 7/2 Suzi Spends, 7/1 Loveinanelevator, 8/1 Bookiebasher Babe, Nice Matin, 14/1 Brave Mave, 16/1 Sleeping ,
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: CERTAIN PROMISE (nap) scored in decent style at Leicester last time and can follow up under her penalty, for all that this field looks a bit more competitive. Suzi Spends has solid place claims.
A loyt of price gappers, but how does the Winning Gap system shortlist? Perhaps, like the above example, it might look for the selection to be napped also by Spotlight, signifying the best bet of the meeting? A blanket backing of all of these produced a profit yesterday without any analysis and, interestingly, all selections placed. Just a good day? Who knows?