AP McCoy – why do you mock me so? -A vintage AP McCoy lift em up over the line thwarted a nice 25/1 winner in Aleemdar ( bigger on BEtfair) – what a gamble that one eh? 50/1 in the betting forecast. Man, I could have done with that – the swear jar is full and it was all aimed at McCoy!
Nelson’s Column unplaced, nice start at Chester with Doncaster Rover winning, followed up by Sail, King Orsichios unplaced and of course Aleemdar foiled for the massive gamble by McCoy yet still paid out double figures on the place
Treble lost so along with the plan will be on loss retrieval mission. Again it seems to be down to selection of teams (and let’s give it it’s due – time of the season)
Well it was bye bye to Getafe stake at 2-0 down but what a fight back! Rangers and Lyon both won but not half time/full time.
Interestingly enough, eagle eyed traders would have got on the enhanced prices on both games – Rangers MUST win and Lyon facing a stubborn Sedan backable at 2.9! Enhanced odds strie again
Again better to concentrate on races where the draw will have an affect
BETTING FORECAST: 7/2 Royalist, 9/2 Adversity, Wasan, 8/1 Huzzah, Magnitude, 12/1 Toto Skyllachy, 16/1 Elna Bright, Fervent Prince, 20/1 Eastern Gift, Green Wadi, Ramatni, 25/1 Boy Blue.
Royalist has a good draw over 7 furlongs, and as provisional favourite is obviously fancied so hopefully will go off at an each way price
BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Senatorial, 100/30 Musical Bridge, Rebecca De Winter, 11/2 Rievaulx World, 10/1 Klynch, 12/1 Fivefootnumberone, 14/1 Viva Ronaldo, 25/1 Crewezando, 33/1 That Boy Ronaldo, 50/1 Neo´s Mate, 100/1 Premier Demon .
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: From the inside stall Rievaulx World looks most interesting of the newcomers, but previous experience is a major plus round here and this has fallen to a debutant only once since 1994. Musical Bridge and Rebecca De Winter clearly have to be high on the list but this is a race Barry Hills targets (his last two winners went on to Group-race success) and SENATORIAL can extend his winning sequence in this event following his promising Newmarket debut
Again over 5 furlongs, the draw will have an impact, as will Spotlight’s stat that this race is difficult for a debutant to win in.
Musical Bridge meets both criteria.
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Kharsya, 7/4 Mon Champion, 9/2 Trust In Me, 10/1 Value Of Time, 12/1 Point Taken, 14/1 Golan Star, 16/1 Pointed Arch, 33/1 Buyasyoufly.
The 2 irish jockey/trainer combos that I look for are not here bt Wachman/Lordan are the only solid pairing and , with the straight 8, Trust in me each way could be competitive
725 – Blaze Trailer have pat Smullen on board and is backable each way, although 6/1 the field indicates the type of race expected
755 – Height of Fury again has Pat Smullen on ,and at 10/1, his chance isn’t obvious but is each way
BETTING FORECAST: 11/4 French Art, 7/2 Resurge, 4/1 Military Power, 8/1 Crown Choice, 12/1 Colour Trooper, Red Icon, Schopenhauer, 16/1 Dear Maurice, Mohathab, 20/1 Capucci, 25/1 Kelowna, 33/1 Kannon, Rum Jungle, 50/1 Quinzey´s Best, 66/1 Grit, 100/1 Deep Waters
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: A useful maiden. Resurge is almost certainly quite a bit better than he has shown so far but he is passed over in favour of FRENCH ART and \Military Power. Both have shown form good enough to win an ordinary maiden and there is unlikely to be that much, if anything between them, but the selection might just be open to a bit more improvement.
Rum Jngle provisionally 20/1 – indicative of a market move – if remaining so, worth an each way interest – preference is to see 16/1 – it is a maiden race so it means that market moves can come off
As things stand, French Art has shortened to 6/4 with others out to 6/1 – is this significant? It’s a maiden and a big field mind
710 GREAT LEIGHS
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Swop, 5/1 Mumbleswerve, 6/1 Coeur Courageux, Justcallmehandsome, 8/1 Grand Vizier, Twilight Star, 10/1 Ninth House, 25/1 Obezyana
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: SWOP (nap) is the most interesting runner in the field by some way and he looked one to keep on the right side of when landing his maiden last October. The much-improved Justcallmehandsome may give him most to think about.
Short priced based on one bit of form last October. Mumbleswerve is 4/1 and the each way alternative, although the 11/10 is tempting on Swop. LEvel stakes dutch can include both horses with a break even on Swop and nice retrn on Mumbleswerve
455 NEWTON ABBOTT
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Nemetan, 6/1 Award Winning, 8/1 My Old Piano, 10/1 Captain Becket, Changing Lanes, 12/1 Call Me Sir, Marigolds Way, 14/1 Cool Alice, Monashee Grey, 16/1 Jerry Lee, 20/1 Grumpy Bee, 33/1 Max Yasgar, 50/1 Kilcoe Castle, Orion Star, 66/1 Colorado Storm
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: There are a couple of potential improvers lurking but NEMETAN (nap) should take all the beating, as he would have won a bit easier at Exeter on Tuesday but for fluffing the last and there’s a good chance he can improve again at this trip
“should take all the beating” – 12/13 tips – form 22121 is TOO good! – postdata selection – escapes a penalty
NEGATIVES – new trip of 2 miles 6 furlongs – 14 runners. – if remaining odds against the horse is worthy of support, although place only looks enticing given the 2’s
|16:30||FC Honka vs RoPS||1/2||14/5||23/4|
|16:30||IFK Mariehamn vs FC KooTeePee||4/9||3/1||13/2|
|17:30||AaB Aalborg vs AGF Arhus||2/5||7/2||11/2|
Treble down yesterday – try again today as per the system – 3.03 for the treble, using loss retrieval today.