Hi there,
I spent a day in my sister isle last week – Jersey – and thoroughly enjoyed the racing, without even placing a single bet! I wanted to dutch some races, lay the fav in the next, but the bookies were having none of it, so I just kicked back and enjoyed an excellent day out with the sun shining. Living on Guernsey means that horse racing is a non-event, so the opportunity must be taken. I know where my stag do will be when I meet a young filly! – Ascot – Goodwood – Aintree – can’t wait!
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BillGates has been messin’ with my blog
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I leave the island and suddenly it’s all change for the msn spaces webblog with an unexpected face-lift and change of address! Please use this address http://clivekeeling.spaces.live.com/ to access my thoughts on the racing. A lot of readers were unable to access the information yesterday which was a real pity, because I tipped up Nonchalant (win 3/1), Yeats (won easily at evens), Megaton (won), White Deer (won at 9/4) and Pressure Point, who drifted to over 4/1 on the exchanges! So, that address again is http://clivekeeling.spaces.live.com/ and if you see that BillGates just mention to him that you missed all these winners and could he please recompense you lost winnings.
I haven’t done any compounding updates, because I was out of the Island on Wednesday and the changes to the web blog meant that it was a pointless exercise if no one could actually access my mighty tomes! I will begin anew on Monday. I would like to know if you are unable to access the webblog. I’d hate for you to miss the odd day when my tips score 100% especially with predominantly odds against selections. I feel that my selections could become more accurate with the help of my friend The Sequencer…
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Volunteers wanted for exciting new service!
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Starting today, I’m looking for a few volunteers to help me beta test ‘MrTefalHead’s’ sequential betting methodology. We are working together to finalise an exciting new service that will generate daily racing selections based upon his hardcore statistical number crunching. Take Tuesday for example. I get a phone call from him warning me not to back any of the favourites at Beverley because, in his words ‘ this meeting is due a correction after 11 of the last 15 favourites have come home in the previous meetings.’ Thank God I did, as not a single favourite came home in the first 4 races! I didn’t back them (but didn’t lay them either – more’s the pity!) but was very impressed with the good advice given. I asked for his advice yesterday and was pleasantly surprised with the mixture of winners and ones to avoid (the latter are not necessarily lay bets, but horses with a statistically worse chance of winning their races).
Remember this is based purely upon numbers, statistics, sequences and NOT form, jockey, race type (although I suspect that the latter could play a bigger role, especially if his sequences flag up a favourite in a race which is a handicap for apprentice jockeys with 18 runners over 3 miles over fences!) I am torn here though, because it would be folly to mess with ‘THE NUMBERS!’
Anyway, I digress . . . If you would like to be one of the handful of beta testers and get one month free tips from ‘The Sequencer’ please email me at sequencepredict@yahoo.co.uk. Our idea testers must be able and willing to follow the daily tips for the next month as closely as possible and be prepared to give feedback and constructive criticism.
It’s totally free for you, but using synergy and the ideas of a whole group of other people, I can gauge the effectiveness of individual advices and the profit potential for you, dear reader! So please email me at sequencepredict@yahoo.co.uk if you’d like to take part.
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Awww, Colleen would be proud of me!
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Yes this weekend I’ll be shopping like Rooney’s girlfriend, for some of the systems and software that you have requested. Apologies for the delay to some of you but I hope to be able to put these through the grinder in the hope that the promises hold true and, more importantly, money is made!
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Texas Hold ‘Em Feedback
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I must take this opportunity to thank those readers who have offered their feedback on texas hold em. It’s an intriguing game, and I hesitate to say it, but there really is no ‘system’ per se, that will work. Because we must, on the whole, be reactive to the personality types of our opponents. That’s not to say that there’s no course of value out there. I am working through a few, but may need longer than the next episode to reveal my findings. It is a game of patience and discipline on the whole, with a bow to good money management, and knowledge of the odds chances of the cards you need to create a winning hand, actually coming up. It’s an intriguing game; I’m practicing on the fun tables daily, and am making distinctions with each game.
During my research I came across a game, where the minimum entry bank was £34000 and to see your cards cost a chopping £350. BUT, the players there could easily clear £3500+ on a matter of minutes, (and lose of course). This is the potential of this game, but a lot of blood sweat and tears will have to go in before I reach anywhere near that level.
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Football’s coming home
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Yes it’s that time of year again. The Scottish Premier League started last week with comfortable victories for the big 2 (you won’t be getting my close show biz pal Cilla saying ‘Surprise Surprise’ to those results) and it’s the turn of the Championship and lower leagues this weekend. It’s time to get your thinking hats on, devise your strategies and go, go, go! The European leagues look to be starting soon, and when they do, I’ll have more on them! The first few games in any league really need to be viewed with an eye to building up some solid statistics, so I will remain cautious tomorrow, and may wait until my copy of the Sports Statistician comes through.
There’s always optimism on the first days of a new season, so we may see some unexpected results. The Championship is not my niche league – it may be yours, so you must exploit it. I prefer the Premiership and the Premier leagues of Europe My only real bet this weekend will be a lay the draw and back the draw when Rangers score the first goal against Dundee United. It should be a relatively straightforward trade. Rangers are 1/6 to win at home, and this is the first HTB for football bet. The idea here is to back the short priced favs at home and compound. This is the system in simplicity and if you’d like it expanded upon, please let me know.
There are some resources you may like to use in this new football season, one of which is the Racing and Football Outlook, a weekly newspaper with superb indepth articles and stats on football – ideal for that all important word RESEARCH! This could be the first weekend for you to paper trade (in the early weeks) some permutations such as those mentioned in early editions of WRWM. By practicing now, you will be more confident in placing your permutations when the football season settles down and trends become apparent. As ever, if you want further information, I’ll do my best to help.
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Back and Lay – Lay and Back
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Having gone through a number of systems, this week will be spent collating results and ensuring that the easy to use and profitable systems are relayed to you. There are a couple of systems which have potential, and more importantly are free, so if the consistency remains, there’ll be no need for you to fork out ridiculous sums to be told to back the horse who, in the Daily Mail column, appears in column 2 whose jockey’s name begins with a vowel, and who had a sugar lump just before the race start, OR avoid all horses who, in the last 30 days have been headbutted by their jockey!
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Signposts to Abject Failure
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Please do not purchase Signposts to Success from Sportsworld Publishing, until the flat season becomes the Jumps. It has categorically failed during the flat season, but I will continue to monitor it into the jumps season – why? Well, this is where the system shone last year, and all will be forgiven if I see £3100000 in my Betfair account by March 2007!
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Statistical Predictor
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I feel really loath to recommend this system because of the absence of any semblance of customer service or real effort on the seller’s part to provide and unambiguous set of instructions. Still I don’t know if Horse A qualifies as a selection. I have kept results, and have yet to transfer them to excel for analysis, but all will be revealed in upcoming e letters and newsletters. For £397 I expect a lot more.
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Spreadtrader
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I have a spreadtrading account at finspreads.com and am very impressed with their quarterly newsletter sent out free. There was an interesting article there this quarter from a full time trader, and his views on why novices fail is worth recounting. Novices get it wrong by
* Gambling rather than trading – acting on hunches and instinct rather than proper analysis
* Act on opinions of others rather than thinking for themselves. I would add that some have a lack of self belief in their abilities and continually invest in so called experts and software when they can do it themselves
* Overtrading – stick to just one or 2 trades at a time. This is applicable to horse racing. Yesterday for instance, Yeats shone like a beacon, and all other selections for the day could have been dismissed. There was no real need to try to make money in every race, especially unsuitable or difficult races.
* Thinking they are owed money when they lose. Chasing loses is the key to failure
* Thinking you have to trade (or bet!) – instead get involved
* Trading without a plan.
Very sound advice, echoing my own rules regarding betting, and worth following I think. I look forward to hearing from you sequencing guinea pigs and wish you a relaxing and profitable weekend. Email me on sequencepredict@yahoo.co.uk
Best regards
Clive