Thank you Aston Villa for an early Xmas present. They were never going to win – right? Layable at 1.3 , I didn’t glimpse United’s tasty odds. Hernandez was quite superb. Another fecking draw for Reading and Norwich! That winless sequence will end.
I am being dragged out to Xmas shopping – so I am doing the Premiership first, and will attempt to do the rest if I can lock the girlfriend in a handbag shop for 4 hours.
1130am – Vitesse v Twente – 2.64 away.
HEAD TO HEADS
LEAGUE POSITION
HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT HOME FORM
RECENT FORM OVERALL
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT AWAY FORM
RECENT OVERALL FORM
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
1145am – Rubin Kazan v Kryliya Sovetov – 1.43 home
HEAD TO HEADS
LEAGUE POSITION
HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT HOME FORM
RECENT FORM OVERALL
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT AWAY FORM
RECENT OVERALL FORM
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
130pm – Man City v Tottenham – 1.64 home
HEAD TO HEADS
| 22.01.2012 | PR | Manchester City | 3-2 | Tottenham | |
| 28.08.2011 | PR | Tottenham | 1-5 | Manchester City | |
| 10.05.2011 | PR | Manchester City | 1-0 | Tottenham | |
| 14.08.2010 | PR | Tottenham | 0-0 | Manchester City | |
| 05.05.2010 | PR | Manchester City | 0-1 | Tottenham | |
| 16.12.2009 | PR | Tottenham | 3-0 | Manchester City |
Goals galore more recently followed a fallow goal period. Be ware new manager syndrome for Spurs which might reflect different goals wise.
LEAGUE POSITION – 3rd v 6th. Must win really for City in order to keep tabs on United. Spurs are 10 points off the lead.
HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Man City
RECENT HOME FORM – WWDWW – as imperious as ever at home , 1-1 draw v Arsenal saw City score first. 2 clean sheets in last 2 v Swansea and Sunderland.
RECENT FORM OVERALL – WDWDDWWWWD – unbeaten this season. City have not played top 6 this season at home. 1-1 draw v 7th.
GOAL TRENDS – 60% overs at home. Average 2.2 at home. City have scored in all matches at home. City are yet to concede at home in the first half. Dzeko and Tevez top scorers at home.
STREAKS – 10 without defeat. 2 match winning streak at home.
AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Spurs – midweek Europa League win put an end to a poor recent win.
RECENT AWAY FORM – LWWW – good away run against Reading, United and Saints. United admittedly the shock result
RECENT OVERALL FORM – LDDWWWWLWL – recent defeats have come at home against Chelsea and Wigan. What is it to be? 2-3 away win v 1st or 2-4 home loss v 2nd. Spurs are scoring against the big boys, 2 goals. Will that continue today? 4 wins have come against bottom 4 so is this form flattering to deceive.
GOAL TRENDS – 100% overs away from home. Have scored and conceded in all away matches this season. Amazingly, Spurs have not conceded away yet in the first half, just like City not conceded in the first half at home. Defoe and Bale the top scorers away so we would want to see them today.
STREAKS – 7 without a draw, no draw away. HAve scored and conceded in all 4 aways.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – amazing stats 1st half. No goal conceded by City at home and no goal conceded by Spurs away. This will end some time. Spurs are scoring 2 goals against the big boys. City have a tight defence since first 2 matches of season. Tough to see how AVB will play, but looking at matches against United and Chelsea, it seems he goes for all out attack. I would hope this is as good as Spurs matches v top 2 and we see goals. Spurs have conceded and scored in all 4 aways .
3pm – Newcastle v West Ham – 2.02 home
HEAD TO HEADS
| 05.01.2011 | PR | Newcastle Utd | 5-0 | West Ham | |
| 23.10.2010 | PR | West Ham | 1-2 | Newcastle Utd | |
| 10.01.2009 | PR | Newcastle Utd | 2-2 | West Ham | |
| 20.09.2008 | PR | West Ham | 3-1 | Newcastle Utd | |
| 26.04.2008 | PR | West Ham | 2-2 | Newcastle Utd | |
| 23.09.2007 | PR | Newcastle Utd | 3-1 | West Ham |
5-0 drubbing last time out unlikely if Demba Baaaaaa is out injured. Soccerway points to 6 injuries for Newcastle without Demba Ba.
LEAGUE POSITION – 10th v 9th -the odds reflect the apparent tightness .
HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Newcastle
RECENT HOME FORM – WDWLW – reasonable home form. The loss was against United. Newcastle have lost against 1st and 2nd and drawn v 4th. An inference that against other than top 4, Newcastle can be competitive.
RECENT FORM OVERALL – WLDDWDLDWD – inconsistent looking at this form. Tough to decide when Newcastle will win or draw. All 3 wins at home against 5th, 6th, and 15th. Against 5th and 6th, 2-1 wins.
GOAL TRENDS – 60% overs at home. HAve only scored 1 in the first half hour of matches.
STREAKS – no draw in 3 at home. Have conceded in last 5 overall.
AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team – West Ham – must be buoyed by strong performance against City.
RECENT AWAY FORM – LDWL – have lost against 11th and 14th away and beaten bottom . Vulnerable?
RECENT OVERALL FORM – WLWDDWLWLD – again inconsistency just like Newcastle. Have lost to Swansea and Wigan away and Arsenal at home.
GOAL TRENDS – 4 overs in last 5 ended with that 0-0 v City. 75% overs away from home. Only 3 goals scored away from home.
STREAKS – no strong streaks.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – this match is tough to call. Why? Look at the overall form. There are no patterns and huge inconsistencies with both sides which means literally anything can happen. Demba Ba is fit so says the Racing Post. Carroll and Nolan are ex Geordies and these players, particularly attackers, have a strange habit of haunting their ex teams. I cannot write off West Ham, but have noted that the bookies wrote Newcastle off recently in 2 matches where they were way over priced and ended up with positive results. Afraid I’m not getting involved. Should be a good chess match this one.
3pm – Celtic v St Johnstone – 1.26 home
HEAD TO HEADS
LEAGUE POSITION
HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT HOME FORM
RECENT FORM OVERALL
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT AWAY FORM
RECENT OVERALL FORM
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
330pm – PSV v Heerenveen – 1.31 home
HEAD TO HEADS
LEAGUE POSITION
HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT HOME FORM
RECENT FORM OVERALL
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT AWAY FORM
RECENT OVERALL FORM
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
4pm – Chelsea v Liverpool – 1.92 home
HEAD TO HEADS
| 08.05.2012 | PR | Liverpool FC | 4-1 | Chelsea FC | |
| 05.05.2012 | Cup | Liverpool FC | 1-2 | Chelsea FC | |
| 29.11.2011 | LC | Chelsea FC | 0-2 | Liverpool FC | |
| 20.11.2011 | PR | Chelsea FC | 1-2 | Liverpool FC | |
| 06.02.2011 | PR | Chelsea FC | 0-1 | Liverpool FC | |
| 07.11.2010 | PR | Liverpool FC | 2-0 | Chelsea FC |
Liverpool have won 4 of the last 5 head to heads, with Chelsea only winning in the Cup. Now that is a surprise for me! Note the new manager syndrome since last head to heads. Chelsea have lost the last 3 home matches in head to heads and this sequence will end at some time – today?
LEAGUE POSITION – 2nd v 13th tells you about these 2’s seasons so far.
HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Chelsea – fat Frank on the sidelines munching pukka pies and Ashley Cole absent , probably getting a brain transplant. He needs it.
RECENT HOME FORM – WWWWL – sole loss was a 2-3 v man Utd A contentious match .Wins against 10th, 12th, 15th and 18th. Playing 13th today.
RECENT FORM OVERALL – WWWDWWWWLD – no win last 3 is an unwelcome sequence for Chelsea.
GOAL TRENDS – 60% overs at home. Have scored in all home matches. Only failed to score in 1 this season. 4 of the last 5 matches over 2.5 goals. Have scored and conceded in last 5 matches.
STREAKS – 5 at home without a draw. Have scored in last 6 and conceded in last 5.
AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Liverpool
RECENT AWAY FORM – LDWD – loss v WBA started the season. Against top 5, 2-2 away draw v Everton and 3-0 loss v WBA. Yet to meet the 3 big boys this season.
RECENT OVERALL FORM – LDLDLWDWDD – unbeaten sequence of 5 – but look at the kinds of teams they play – Norwich, Stoke Reading, then a slight shift up the Newcastle and Spurs. ( 2 score draws).
GOAL TRENDS – 75% overs away. Scoring 2 and conceding 2 on average ( remember only 4 matches so these trends are not rock solid).No clean sheet away. If this is tight in the last 1/4 hour, Chelsea have scored 5 and Liverpool have not scored . Suarez has scored 5 away from home.
STREAKS – 5 overall without defeat.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – are Liverpool historically a bogey team? If the head to heads continue, Chelsea will be layable at odds on. We do, though, have new managers and post transfer -Chelsea’s buys have been thoroughly impressive. Liverpool are a work in progress. UNbeaten in 5 though , 3 of the teams have been weak. Newcastle and Spurs score draws interesting.
The goal trends ( note only 4 matches so these trends are weak) signal goals.
This is all about current form v history. Current form points to Chelsea not losing. Liverpool have not met top 3 yet away but in Suarez they have a player with 5 away. Are Liverpool a bogey team? 3 consecutive home wins.
450pm – Mallorca v Barcelona – 1.26 away
HEAD TO HEADS
| 24.03.2012 | D1 | Real Mallorca | 0-2 | FC Barcelona | |
| 29.10.2011 | D1 | FC Barcelona | 5-0 | Real Mallorca | |
| 26.02.2011 | D1 | Real Mallorca | 0-3 | FC Barcelona | |
| 03.10.2010 | D1 | FC Barcelona | 1-1 | Real Mallorca | |
| 27.03.2010 | D1 | Real Mallorca | 0-1 | FC Barcelona | |
| 07.11.2009 | D1 | FC Barcelona | 4-2 | Real Mallorca |
Mallorca have not scored in 4 of last 5 matches in head to heads.
LEAGUE POSITION – 14th v 1st
HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Mallorca
RECENT HOME FORM – WWWLL – no draws at home. 0-5 loss to Real Madrid the template for today?
RECENT FORM OVERALL – WDWDWLLLLL – 5 match losing sequence needs to end and might signal caution from Mallorca?
GOAL TRENDS – 60% overs at home. BEtween the 16th to 75th minute, Mallorca have scored a single goal at home.
STREAKS – 5 at home without a draw. 5 match losing streak. Have conceded in last 5 overall.
AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Barca – have Celtic done Barca backers a favour ? Barca rarely lose 2 consecutive matches.
RECENT AWAY FORM – WWWWW – 5-3-4-5-2 scored away.
RECENT OVERALL FORM – WWWWWWDWWW – draw v Real Madrid.
GOAL TRENDS – 100% overs away. 3.8 scored on average. Scored in all matches this season. 10 goals scored away in last 1/4 hour suggests if this is tight up to the 75th minute, get on Barca. Messi has 9 goals away.
STREAKS – 10 without defeat. Have scored in last 10.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – 5 match losing streak for Mallorca -they will want that to end. A very recent 0-5 loss to Real Madrid though relays a different story. Average 3.8 away for Barca. Will that form a basis for a correct score bet? Late late show possible from Barca. Mallorca are yet to score in 3 head to heads.
6pm – Porto v Academica – 1.18 home
HEAD TO HEADS
| 11.08.2012 | SC | FC Porto | 1-0 | Académica Coimbra | |
| 10.03.2012 | D1 | FC Porto | 1-1 | Académica Coimbra | |
| 19.11.2011 | Cup | Académica Coimbra | 3-0 | FC Porto | |
| 02.10.2011 | D1 | Académica Coimbra | 0-3 | FC Porto | |
| 20.03.2011 | D1 | FC Porto | 3-1 | Académica Coimbra | |
| 30.10.2010 | D1 | Académica Coimbra | 0-1 | FC Porto |
2 cup matches perhaps see Porto in a less favourable light.The 3-0 matches are more in keeping with today’s odds which you know, and I don’t have to remind you do I?, signal 3/4 goals and a possible win to nil.
LEAGUE POSITION – 1st v 10th
HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team -Porto
RECENT HOME FORM – WWWW – 4-0, 4-0, 2-0, 5-0. 3 of these 4 scorelines are exactly in keeping with a 1.18 shot.3 of these wins came against bottom 6 sides.
RECENT FORM OVERALL – DWWWDWWW – if this sequence continues, it’ll be D today. Both draws came away from home.
GOAL TRENDS – 75% OVERS at home. 3.75 scored on average – again this fits in perfectly with a 1.18 quote. No goals conceded at home.
STREAKS – 8 without defeat. Have scored in last 7.
AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team – academica
RECENT AWAY FORM – DDWD – not played top 4 away yet, but 3 clean sheets away deserves recognition.
RECENT OVERALL FORM – DDDDWLDL – only 1 win this season against 12th. 2-2 home draw v 2nd placed Benfica. 2 recent defeats came at home. A case of drawitis here to start the season has fallen off recently.
GOAL TRENDS – 25% overs away from home down largely to not conceding.
STREAKS – 4 away without defeat. Have kept 3 clean sheets.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – everything in Porto’s form points to 3/4 goals as per a 1.18 quote and a possibility of a win to nil. But what do we make of Academica’s 3 consecutive clean sheets away ? Admittedly they have not played the top 4 away but they could just be getting it tactically right away. Porto suffered a European shut out mid week. This seems to be the only scoreline to scupper a comfortable home win. I cannot check any team news on Porto – we cant to see the scorers out. Academica tend to concede 2 when they lose, and have conceded 3 only once.
645pm – Atl Madrid v Getafe – 1.39 home
HEAD TO HEADS
LEAGUE POSITION
HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT HOME FORM
RECENT FORM OVERALL
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT AWAY FORM
RECENT OVERALL FORM
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
830pm – Levante v Real Madrid – 1.38 away
HEAD TO HEADS
| 12.02.2012 | D1 | Real Madrid | 4-2 | Levante UD | |
| 18.09.2011 | D1 | Levante UD | 1-0 | Real Madrid | |
| 19.02.2011 | D1 | Real Madrid | 2-0 | Levante UD | |
| 06.01.2011 | Cup | Levante UD | 2-0 | Real Madrid | |
| 22.12.2010 | Cup | Real Madrid | 8-0 | Levante UD | |
| 25.09.2010 | D1 | Levante UD | 0-0 | Real Madrid |
Levante at home have had DWW at home in head to heads. Shutting out Real 3 times. Perhaps this is reflected in the 1.38 cautious away quote. Are Levante at home a bogey team?
LEAGUE POSITION – 6th v 3rd – not a bad season for the home side. Real are already 8 points behind barca.
HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Levante
RECENT HOME FORM – DWWWW – nothing better than a team dominant at home in head to heads on a good domestic current home run. 1-1 home draw with Atl Madrid ( 2nd in league) and 1-0 win over Valencia ( traditionally the 3rd best team in Spain). Levante are conceding away though.
RECENT FORM OVERALL – DLWLWLWWWD – 3 clean sheets in last 4 good for the arrival of a Real yet to score in 3 at Levante.
GOAL TRENDS – 60% overs at home. Have scored in all home matches. Have conceded 3 goals in the 16th -30th minute at home and 1 in the last 1/4 hour. A tight defense at home. Obafemi Martins, honourary Geordie, leads the scoring at home.
STREAKS – 4 at home without a draw. 5 at home without defeat. Have scored in last 5 at home.
AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Real Ale Madras
RECENT AWAY FORM – LLWDW – slipping up away from home. REcent 0-5 away win against Mallorca very impressive. The draw almost inevitably is against Barcelona.
RECENT OVERALL FORM – DLWLWWDWWW – the 2 away defeats have changed to 5 wins and a draw in 6 matches, scoring no fewer than 2.
GOAL TRENDS – 60% overs away from home not what you normally expect of this side. Something to do with 3 consecutive clean sheets? Exactly the same averages as Levante at home, score 2 and concede 1 .Only 1 goal conceded first half hour away for real Madrid. Ronaldo on 5 away dominates the scoring.
STREAKS – 6 without defeat – have scored in last 6.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – this has “bogey team” written all over it. Real Madrid have not scored at Levante in the last 3 home head to heads. Coincidence ? Add to this the fact that Levante are not conceding generally at home and this could be a toughie for Real Madrid. I don’t think I would be a Real backer at 1.38, that’s just too short ( a bit like the Arsenal odds yesterday despite them taking the lead). Keep Ronaldo quiet and you pretty much close off Real away. 3 home clean sheets spells problems for Real MAdrid.
Both teams though have been scoring regularly.
Given the Levante history I would lay Real Madrid at short odds on. They have not scored in 3 at Levante. Do you think it will end? How impressed were you with the 0-5 against usually tough at home Mallorca? Will this sway you away from historical form?