Good calls yesterday despite slim pickings.
1pm – Tomsk v Shinnik – 1.42 home
3pm – Spartak Nalchik v Petrotrest – 1.38 home
430pm – Tulevik Viljandi v Flora Tallinn – 1.22 away
5pm – Dinamo Moscow v Stuttgart – 2.5 away
745pm – Anderlecht v A.E.L. – 1.5 home – Champions League and it’s 2-1 to AEL, but Anderlecht have the away goal so need a 1-0 minimum. If Anderlecht score at all,AEL will want to get a goal.
LLLDLDLLWLWDW at home recently for Anderlecht in the Champions League. Recent form has seen only 1 defeat in 5. 5-0, 3-0, 5-0 in the 3 wins,2-2 in the draw ( from 0-2 down), and 1-3 loss to Lyon.
AEL are new to the Champions League, and so far this year it’s WDWWW – the only goal conceded was against Anderlecht.
This is tough to weigh up, because Anderlecht’s goal might have simply have been to score an away goal and then push on in the home match.
Anderlecht simply need to score, AEL simply need the status quo ( and they are greek in origin( 4 clean sheets in 5 in all).
745pm – Aston Villa v Tranmere – 1.52 home – Aston Villa have conceded 3 in 3 of their last 4 matches, and have not won in 4. Villa’s last 3 defeats in the League Cup have come against Man Utd, Bolton, and Birmingham City. 3 of Villa’s last 4 defeats at home in this competition saw them fail to score. The 6 goals Villa have scored in this Competition at home have all come in the 2nd half. Only 2 wins in last 10 in the League Cup for tranmere. Only 1 win away in 7 League cup matches in 90 minutes for Tranmere. Tranmere have only scored 1 goal in their last 5 away league cup matches.
Team news a pre requisite and that will come later in the day. It looks as if Tranmere don’t take this competition seriously, and may have trouble scoring tonight. What is the significance of Villa conceding 3 in 3 of their last 4 matches? A tightening of the ship this evening, and potential for a concerted 0-0?
745pm – Burnley v Plymouth – 1.43 home
745pm – Crawley Town v Bolton – 2.66 away – now these odds surely tell it all don’t they. Where else would you get a recent Premiership side away to a team such as Crawley Town, than in the League Cup. Obvious therefore that Bolton’s priorities must lie elsewhere?
This time last year, Crawley went through on pens away to Millwall. Only 1 draw in 10 for Bolton.Only 1 draw in 11 away for Bolton.WLWLDWLWLWL – totally inconsistent in this Competition making Bolton difficult to read.Last 3 away defeats though were against Chelsea, Arsenal and Burnley.
Value seekers will see 2.66 as too enticing for a team recently out of the premiership, but really this is the League Cup so bear in mind that the odds might tell a story.
745pm – Dunfermline v Montrose – 1.25 home – 1st division v 3rd division. Dunfermline had a torrid time in the Premier division but have now won 2 away and lost 1 1-0 in the First Division. So the 3rd division should hold no problems? This is the Scottish league cup. Dunfermline have not scored in their last 2 home matches. What is the chance of a 3rd consecutive match without them scoring? and at 1.25.
No draw in 12 for Dunfermline in this competition. 7 wins and 2 defeats to celtic and rangers at home for Dunfermline tell us they take this seriously at home
2 consecutive draws for Montrose. LLDWLLLLLW for Montrose in the Cup. Montrose have failed to score in their last 2 away League cup matches .
Lack of a draw here one would suspect, which naturally hints at a home win. The value will be found in nailing the correct score. Dunfermline must score today surely, as it is inconceivable they will not go 3 home without a goal. 1-0 would be a value call here but I suspect they could get 3+ this evening.
745pm – Kilmarnock v Stenhousemuir – 1.3 home
745pm – Leicester v Burton – 1.34 home
745pm – Norwich v Scunthorpe – 1.4 home
745pm – Nottm Forest v Wigan – 2.44 home
745pm – Panathinaikos v Malaga – 2.66 home – 2-0 home win for Malaga and they ensured no concession of a clean sheet so it is advantage Malaga to go through in this Champions League play off. Apart from Malaga, Panathanaikos kept 3 clean sheets in 4 matches.
Only 2 wins in the last 13 matches for panathanaikos in the Champions League was against Motherwell, and Malaga are surely better than malaga. LLDLLW at home for Panathanaikos. That win was against Motherwell.
malaga are newcomers to the Champions League and started off well.
They need 0-0 minimum to go through, 1 goal should assure it.Panathanaikos need to match Malaga at 2-0 to take it to extra time. 2-1 is not good enough.
Panathanaikos, typically greek, are likely to try to keep a clean sheet – so adept of Greek teams. A protracted 0-0 could call for a back to lay trade of 0-0?
745pm – QPR v Walsall – 1.35 home
745pm – Sheff Wed v Fulham – 2.3 away
745pm – Stevenage v Southampton – 2.2 away
745pm – Stoke v Swindon – 1.61 home
745pm – Sunderland v Morecambe – 1.19 home – Sunderland did not play at the weekend so should be even more refreshed at home. Sunderland’s home matches in the League cup saw 3 defeats against Arsenal, Blackburn and West Ham. defeats for Morecambe away in the League Cup have been by 5-4-5-2. No real Premiership opposition for Morecambe, apart from Wolves in 2007. 1.19 signals 3+ goals for Sunderland. Checking out their team news for this competition will determine confidence in a possible 3/4+ goal win to Nil for a Sunderland manager with a reputation in the Competition.
745pm – Swansea v Barnsley – 1.37 home
745pm – Udinese v Braga – 2.12 home
745pm – Watford v Bradford – 1.62 home
745pm – West Ham v Crewe – 1.42 home – league Cup match and this time last year, at home, West Ham lost 1-2 to the might of Aldershot town. In the 2 home defeats in the Cup, West Ham lost 1-2 and scored first on both occasions.
In 11 home matches in the cup, West Ham were unbeaten in 9. Crewe have only played away in 4, losing 3 and winning 1. In all defeats, Crewe scored .
West Ham team news required as teams do tend to treat this Competition with contempt.
745pm – Yeovil v West Brom – 1.82 away
8pm – Reading v Peterborough – 1.45 home