A bit late today but first kick off of interest is not until 5pm so no rush.

5pm – Niger v Ghana – 1.45 away – Niger have failed to score so far in this ACN, 1-0 loss to Mali and 0-0 v Congo. Ghana have a reputation as one of the strong African Footballing Nations.

A 2-2 draw with Congo was careless. Ghana were 2-0 up. 1-0 win over Mali. We have collateral form here which suggests the odds are spot on. Unlikely to be a goal fest, Congo could not score against Mali but did against Ghana. Niger should not win, and value seekers will be looking to a win to nil for Ghana. They are likely to be as tight as they were against Mali. Note the Ghanaian goal against Mali was a penalty so they might have trouble getting the opening goal – 0-0 back to lay trade?

8pm – Porto v Gil Vicente – 1.16 home

HEAD TO HEADS

Sun 19/08/12 PRL Gil Vicente 0 – 0 Porto More info
Sun 29/01/12 PRL Gil Vicente 3 – 1 Porto View events More info
Fri 19/08/11 PRL Porto 3 – 1 Gil Vicente View events More info
Sat 29/01/11 TDL Gil Vicente 2 – 2 Porto View events More info
Wed 27/02/08 TDP Porto 1 – 0 Gil Vicente View events More info
Sat 01/04/06 PRL Porto 3 – 0 Gil Vicente More info
Sun 27/11/05 PRL Gil Vicente 0 – 1 Porto
 Porto have won last 3 at home scoring 3-1-3 but away it’s a different story with Gil a lot tougher to beat.
LEAGUE POSITION – 2nd v 12th – Benfica had a crunch match last time out against a BRaga side who normally get something from the match. Benfica won so hand the baton now to Porto who must win to keep on equal points. If Porto score 3 clear goals, to no reply tonight, they go top.
HOME TEAM – -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team -Porto
RECENT HOME FORM – WWWWWWWW – nuff said.Only failed to score 2+ against 11th and 16th. Only 1 team has scored against Porto in the league at home
RECENT FORM OVERALL – WWWWWWWDWW = draw was an epic 2-2 with Benfica.
GOAL TRENDS – Porto have failed to score in only 1 this season. They have only failed to keep 3 clean sheets all season. All Porto draws came away. 50/50 overs down to clean sheets at home.
STREAKS – 8 match home winning streak. No defeat in 15, Have scored in last 14. 3 clean sheets at home.
AWAY TEAM – past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team – Gil Vicente
RECENT AWAY FORM – DLWLDDW – only 2 away defeats v 3rd and 9th but only 2 away wins against 8th and 11th – yet to play top 2 away. Have already drawn 0-0 with Porto at home, so maybe a 0-0 cover tonight?
RECENT OVERALL FORM – LLLDLDDLW – most recent win an away win against 8th. Only 1 clean sheet in last 9. No wins home or away against top 7
GOAL TRENDS – 71% overs score and concede in equal measure away.
STREAKS – have scored in last 6 away and conceded in last 4 away.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – Porto at home are imperious. Wonderful stats throughout remiscent of Bayern away from home clean sheet wise. Look for a win to nil. Factor in a need for 3 goals ( clear) to go top on goal difference, and you have a potential value entry point. Beware that Gil might score a goal, they have been scoring away in last 6 matches and that might just be a habit.
If Porto remain resolute, they will not concede. 1.16 suggests they score 3 as they have done in 2 of last 3 head to heads.