Sometimes product authors take the ‘They know something you don’t’ notion when trying to sell you their products. You know the story: you’re just a minnow in the multitudes, grinding away day in day out in a job you hate, whilst the minority elite run the show and reap all the rewards.
In betting circles, this falls under the perpetuated idea that bookies and horse racing insiders know something you don’t: they know who’s going to win a race before it’s been ran.
Michael O’Keaf is the author of a horse racing method called Black Book Betting, and in his albeit short but hyped up sales page, he writes: ‘When these companies are setting the odds for the races they often know the result before they actually happen!’ I had to check the fellow writing this was calling himself Michael O’Keaf and not Philip K. Dick, so science-fiction it sounds.
It appears like he’s suggesting these odd-setters are gifted with some sort of superhuman precognition future-divining power. O’Keaf winds his neck in before it gets too unbelievable, with the admission that: ‘Granted this is not always 100% accurate but I have the scheme that regularly predicts the results of a race prior to the race meeting’. Michael’s in the know – and like Prince Adam turning into He-Man from Master of the Universe, he has the power.
O’Keaf then comes even further down to earth by urging that the bookmakers and insiders know what’s going to happen because ‘History always repeats itself’ and ‘Statistics that have been collected over years and years have shown us that if: “Similar Conditions Collate With Similar Circumstances, Then We End Up With Similar Outcomes!”’ There’s something to be said for this, and it’s called research: rating a horse’s form, and relating past triumphs with such factors as past goings, etc.
So when all the hype is stripped away, Black Book Betting is merely O’Keaf’s ‘simple and calculated method of predicting horse racing results’ – there now: that wasn’t too painful, was it Michael? O’Keaf is in a position to make supposedly accurate predictions of horse racing results because he worked for 17 years as a senior employee for an (un-named) company, purportedly ‘one of the biggest betting organisations in the world’.
Under the heading ‘How can this former betting professional double your weekly wage?’, there is very little to tell you anything about the product, but you can fight your way through the spin and purchase Black Book Betting for £31 (before VAT), with a 60 day unconditional money-back guarantee through Clickbank. Ignore the spiel about the bonus greyhound racing system, as I never received it and did not feel the inclination to chase this up.
What you get for your money is a downloadable PDF document, the bulk of which is detailed instruction on the ins and outs of betting, and how exactly to place a bet. This filler is obviously intended to make a claim for the method being suitable for beginners (which, to be fair, it is). The important method-containing part of the manual lays out the admittedly uncomplicated self-selection system for betting on horse racing. Without giving away the simple system, the method directs you to select win bets if the odds are less than 6.00 or less, but each-way bets if they’re more than 6.00. Bets are to be placed normally at least 24 hours in advance (sometimes further) of the race time.
The simple system is undemanding and easy-to-execute, making selections a no-brainer, and could be utilised daily if you wanted. However, it’s a far cry from being the trumpet-sounding secret weapon against the bookies that the sales-patter pretends it is. There’s certainly nothing about it that implies any insider knowledge or use of some mystical and powerful black book of contacts and secrets.
For someone who has reportedly worked for a huge betting organisation, I was perplexed at the instruction in the ebook that tells you to not use Betfair as a platform for this system. I wonder if the author has a vendetta against Betfair, because it’s exactly the place where this system can be used. If you find a selection that is ripe for each-way betting, splitting such a bet often allows for better profits. This can easily be done on Betfair and Betdaq.
Results during my trial were nothing to write home about. The selection process, whilst easy to implement, provided very few potential runners, and even fewer horses that actually ended up running. In two months, I’d only made 24 selections that actually ran. Of these, 5 won or placed, and the remaining 18 lost. This 20.83 strike rate might be workable if there were more bets, but it resulted in a loss of 12 points.
I have no idea how this system can earn you £700 a week, and don’t think it’s workable because the selections are so few in number.
http://www.blackbookbetting.com
