Kitty unplaced, Yeats won. Giant among Men and Lady Alicia 1st and 3rd for the Irish Combos the highlight -another few close shaves amongst the others regarding placing
Sularno won well – a horse BEGINNING a winning sequence I would think – remains to be seen if he’s a lay next time or still backable
Jazacosta 1/4 won – obvious chance there for all to see at bad odds
LAying the fav at Towcester came off – that fav was Pilca
Again laying the draw proved worthwhile – that’s some 3-4 similar bets which have all obliged in must win games. I left unders alone which with hindsight was wise!
230 ASCOT
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Cuis Ghaire, 7/1 Jet D´Eau, 9/1 Please Sing, 10/1 Penny´s Gift, 12/1 Art Princess, Aspen Darlin, 14/1 African Skies, April Pride, 25/1 Danidh Dubai, 33/1 Ares Choix, Daisy Moses, Foxtrot Alpha, 50/1 Salsa Star, 66/1 Aahaygirl, She´s A Shaw Thing
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: There are several virtual unknown quantities in opposition but it is difficult to get away from the unbeaten CUIS GHAIRE, who is already a Group winner – albeit in a less competitive race – and goes unpenalised. Give underfoot would be an unknown factor, however. African Skies and Please Sing make some appeal as each-way alternatives
A case of lay the fav? “several unknown quantities” ” underfoot would be an unknown factor”
The horse is certainly layable if anything like its betting forecast price. I may even put in a betfair ” keep bets” for under 2.00 to ensure I lay at odds on
IRISH COMBOS
230 – ASpen Darlin – Murtagh
305 – Hebridean and Winchester
345- Psalm and Caribbean Sunset
420 – Monte Alto – Murtagh
455 – Tiffany Diamond
650 GOODWOOD
BETTING FORECAST: 5/1 Mission Control, 6/1 Addikt, Addwaitya, 8/1 King Bathwick, 10/1 Empire Seeker, Ever Dreaming, Pinnacle Point, 12/1 Better In Heaven, Tamasou, 14/1 Blur, Cosmea, 16/1 King´s Alchemist, 20/1 Lenouska, 25/1 House Of Tudor, 33/1 Ruby Delta, Teadancer
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: This looks impossible with little solid handicap form to work with and a host of unexposed 3yos lining up. Addikt, King Bathwick, Addwaitya, Mission Control and King’s Alchemist all make some appeal, but EMPIRE SEEKER did enough on his first two starts to think that this sort of mark wouldn’t be beyond him.
“this looks impossible”! – Swerve the market leaders then? Empire seeker and Kings alchemist each way for no other reason than their placings in the betting forecast one is 5th fav and the other is before the bigger prices
LIMERICK
More Irish Combos
525 – LAw officer
555 – Egyptian Hero and King of the Nile
700 – Honoria and My dark Rosaleen
800 – Suailce
330 REDCAR
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Kidlat, 11/4 Altitude, 3/1 Prince Kalamoun, 9/2 Elliwan, 16/1 Alqaahir, 25/1 Ducal Regancy Duke, 33/1 Linby, 100/1 Divvys Dream, Micallef, 200/1 Fleetway, I Feel Fine, Missycomelightly
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: There are races to be won with Elliwan, Prince Kalamoun and Altitude but they may have to wait a little longer as KIDLAT entered a thousand notebooks after his debut at Yarmouth and looks a promising colt.
A 4 horse race ? (bar market moves) – Elliwan and Alqaahir each way – I’ll include the outsider because you never know!
FOOTY
Croatia odds on to win tonight against the Turks whose confidence must be sky high after their amazing recovery last game?
I’ll chance an over 2.5 goal trade tonight – keep the bet neutral.