Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Sunday 30th August 2015

Each way betting – a background How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd . By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour. Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus. 1) we select only from 8/9 runner races 2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection .

A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place. 3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

This is the background behind the selections you will find here. Make sure you check the place onlyterms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

Yesterday

 

145 beverley Betting forecast: 6/4 Grand Beauty, 3/1 Exentricity, 100/30 Alpha Delphini, 4/1 Eye Glass, 25/1 Lady Lisa Jayne, 33/1 Compton Magic, 33/1 Mini Minstrel, 100/1 Forest Missile.
usual Alpha Delphini  – 1st 7.86 win and 1.79 place
speculative Eye glass – 3rd 5.05 win and 1.56 place
510 beverley Betting forecast: 11/10 Langlauf, 7/4 Zaina Rizeena, 8/1 Belle Vale, 10/1 Ninetta, 25/1 Buteo Bai, 25/1 Lady Bacchus, 25/1 Lady Nahema, 33/1 Bush Babe, 66/1 Ingleby Erin.
usual Belle Vale  – non runner
speculative Ninetta – 2nd 5.85 win and 1.81 place
705 windsor Betting forecast: 7/4 Gospel Choir, 7/2 Gibeon, 5/1 Princess Loulou, 11/2 Beautiful Romance, 11/2 Felix Mendelssohn, 25/1 Headline News, 25/1 Manndawi, 25/1 Tears Of The Sun.
usual Princess Loulou  – 8th 9.41
speculative Felix Mendelssohn – 5th 13.5
735 windsor Betting forecast: 7/4 Instill, 3/1 Khee Society, 4/1 Cape Spirit, 8/1 Jersey Jewel, 8/1 Smoky Hill, 14/1 New Tarabela, 20/1 Hurricane Volta, 33/1 Broughtons Berry
usual Cape Spirit  – 3rd 8.88 win and 2.39 place
speculative Smoky Hill – 5th 9.75

Today

325 beverley Betting forecast: 6/4 Don´t Call Me, 9/2 Aqua Ardens, 9/2 Layla´s Hero, 9/2 Zaza Zest, 8/1 Talent Scout, 10/1 Shadowtime, 66/1 Brightside, 100/1 Raffers.
usual Layla’s Hero
speculative Talent Scout
535 beverley Betting forecast: 11/4 Best Boy, 7/2 The Way You Dance, 5/1 All My Love, 5/1 Our Time Will Come, 6/1 Codger´s Gift, 10/1 Mercury, 14/1 Strategic Order, 20/1 Polly Jackson, 33/1 Lightning Steps.
usual our Time will come
speculative Codger’s Gift
210 yarmouth Betting forecast: 9/4 Alqubbah, 4/1 Fourth Way, 9/2 Aberlady, 5/1 Thrilled, 6/1 Rose Marmara, 14/1 Lady Nayef, 16/1 Omeed, 33/1 Caledonia Duchess.
usual Aberlady
speculative Rose Marmara