So who noticed the market move on Spic n Span – 3/1 into 7/4 favouratism – got to be flexible in reaction to new information – Maid of Ailsa ditched therefore.
“nd selection won anyway so job done yesterday, but a lesson for you that nothing is written in stone and if new info comes to light, common sense tells you you have to be flexible
1215 CATTERICK
BETTING FORECAST: 5/2 Tide Slider, 6/1 Empty Sky, 10/1 Heavenly Chorus, Imtihan, Macchiato, 12/1 Singhalongtasveer, 14/1 Coconut Beach, Crosby Jemma, Goldan Jess, Mystified, Rehearsal, 20/1 Cloudless Dawn, Lahib The Fifth, Silver Adonis, 25/1 Ardesia, 33/1 Dance Sauvage, Luce Bay.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The two against the field in this ordinary event are TIDE SLIDER and Empty Sky. Preference is for the former, whose style of racing should be seen to good effect around here and he’s 4lb well in compared to future handicaps
Big field – big price gaps 3.95 / 1.48
100 FAIRYHOUSE
BETTING FORECAST: 8/13 Zaarito, 7/2 Coast, 8/1 Presenting Thyne, 10/1 Appeal Denied, Lagganstown, 16/1 Caughtontheriver, 20/1 Celestial Lady, Larry Luso, Noirgem, Steve Silvermint, 25/1 Belass Boy, Stowaway Prince, Zanwood, 33/1 Cruises Beef, Loose Approach, Pearly Pete,
Soft to heavy grond but the market leader has shortened 1.5 / 1.15
105 PLUMPTON
BETTING FORECAST: 4/5 Sovereign King, 11/4 Phardessa, 7/2 Olmeto Collonges, 33/1 Wasntme.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: SOVEREIGN KING, who unseated his rider in what looked a slightly stronger contest on his chasing debut nine days ago, should take plenty of beating with a clear round. Phardessa may prove a greater threat than Olmeto Collonges
Another one of those races I like – 3 vying for 2 places 1.88 / 1.32
150 CATTERICK
BETTING FORECAST: 1/2 Nine Stories, 9/2 Gulf Coast, 11/2 Seven Stars, 16/1 Actabou, 20/1 Mardood, 25/1 Victorias.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: A decent opportunity for bright prospect NINE STORIES to get back in the winning groove for his thriving yard.[
Now 1/3 which is always a good sign 1.37 / 1.14
210 PLUMPTON
BETTING FORECAST: 4/5 Amble Forge, 3/1 Keltic Moon, 13/2 Blueberry Ice, 8/1 The Hardy Boy, 14/1 Glengarra, 20/1 Sir Harry Cool.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: AMBLE FORGE (nap) is due to race off 9lb higher from Saturday and looks set to complete a hat-trick. Keltic Moon, also turned out under a penalty, is feared most
Sponsored by Cenkos Guernsey! _I’ll be back in Guernsey in a couple of weeks!
Looks a decent opportunity with Blueberry Ice a non runner 1.63 / 1.29
240 PLUMPTON
BETTING FORECAST: 4/6 Albany, 6/1 Rawaabet, Wildbach, 8/1 Rebel Raider, 14/1 Santera, 16/1 Chance Card, Sir Monty, 25/1 Wondersobright, 40/1 Arabian Sun.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: All depends on ALBANY and whether he can cope with the big drop in trip. Today’s company and weights give him every chance. Wildbach and Rawaabet could follow him home.
Significant price gap here but a poor claiming hurdle – can we trust this shortie to perform? 1.82 / 1.3
310 PLUMP
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Little Shilling, 5/1 Amoreigh, 6/1 Nagam, 8/1 Solid As A Rock, 10/1 Kiltimoney, 12/1 Peveril Pride, 14/1 Follow The Flow, 20/1 Change Agent, Strolling Vagabond, 25/1 Ross Leader.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Little Shilling is now a very different proposition than when last sighted over fences but he’s going to be a very short price for a horse with something to prove in this discipline and an each-way alternative is AMOREIGH, a real slogger who should see this out better than most
Now chasing after the 4 timer, still priced to be competitive but with only 4 sub 10/1 it may be worth chancing the market mover amongst Amoreigh, Nagam, Solid as a rock 2.28 / 1.5
720 KEMPTON
BETTING FORECAST: 11/4 Smokey Ryder, 3/1 Kheskianto, 7/2 Sonhador, 9/2 Royal Raider, 10/1 Fangfoss Girls, 14/1 Skruton, 25/1 River Style, 33/1 Betoula, Emerald Lass, Lois Darlin, 50/1 Outdroad,
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Ex-Italian Kheskianto (who ran yesterday) has to be considered, while there is little to choose between the best of those with domestic form – Smokey Ryder, SONHADOR, Royal Raider and Fangfoss Girls – judged on the figures. Perhaps Sonhador, who is the best drawn, will prove the one to beat
The 2nd named is a non runner making life easier for the market mover 2.92 / 1.35
NINE STORIES the one a day for me -again remember the lesson from yesterday – if there is neew information (be it a significant market move, change to heavy ground etc) we must be flexible
Amble Forge at 1.29 looks better priced of course but not as solid from a market move perspective with Nine stoiries battered into 1/3.