Weld/Smullen and O’Brien – how did they get on yesterday – well Mr Topaz placed as recommended, Rock Critic unplaced, Hebridean won, Chinese white won, Soinlovewithyou unplaced at 12/1 , Adored won at 6/1, Lakil Princess 4th 10/1, others unplaced, BEachbound neck 4th at 3/1. 2 O’Brien entries in 1000 guineas unplaced
Lochiel was a little too close to Eleveth Regent for the latter to be a proper price gapper and so it proved with Lochiel winning.
Galalctic star placed for each way backers,
The treble came in for the footy at a total 2/1 -it’s all about correct choice of gameswith this, bt a previous betting cycle of 3 means we are at a loss at present, but will be interesting to get stuck into the new football season
CURRAGH
210
Duc de Savioue and Master Craftsman for the Irish partnerships albeit in a maiden with debutants on yielding ground
310 – CAmpfire glow
340 – Tiffany Diamond and Smullen on board Cotacachi
410 – Mount Nelson and Regime, the latter again ridden by SMullen, both backable each way
440 – Downhill SKier and Nortburn, the latter ridden by Jonny Murtagh
540 – Trojan Warrior and Kahingar
Some races which are really nsuitable betting mediums, being, as they are, big field maidens, but I will be cursing if I miss another big price like Henry the NAvigator.
230 KEMPTON
BETTING FORECAST: 11/4 Espy, 3/1 Kinout, 9/2 Miesko, 6/1 Bosun Breese, 8/1 Baytown Blaze, Enodoc, 9/1 Bertbrand
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: This looks a race that any of them could win, especially as most would prefer an easy lead. Perhaps ESPY, who put up a decent performance at Brighton recently despite not getting a clear run, can make a winning handicap debut. Kinout is preferred of the others.[
2 favs at 3/1 – I will chance Miesko each way in a tight handicap. More speculative can reach for an even bigger priced horse as this is tight “this looks a race that any of them could win”
330
BETTING FORECAST: Evs Austintatious, 5/1 Visions Of Johanna, 7/1 Amhooj, Travelling Light, 12/1 De Facto, James Dean, Sainglend, 20/1 Royal Straight, 25/1 Cheney Manor, 33/1 Misselliebee, 66/1 Tallest Peak
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: It’s hard to oppose the Group One entered AUSTINTATIOUS given his effort behind Twice Over when last seen and the fact that he’s bred to be just as effective on sand. Visions Of Johanna is an intriguing debutant and any market support would be significant.
Price gap – “hard to oppose” – “group one entered” – currently 10/11
This is a maiden race though so market moves must be factored in, and we can only do that with the live market, but as things stand, Frankie’s mount at 10/11 is reasonable enough
400
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Khateeb, 9/2 Barliffey, Barricado, 6/1 Cotton Reel, 14/1 Ejeed, Media Stars, Parson´s Punch, 25/1 Harveys Spirit, 50/1 Buck Cannon, Mellifluous, Sun In Splendour
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: KHATEEB (nap) put up a very promising performance in the second division of the Wood Ditton on his debut, marking him down as a sure-fire maiden winner, and he’s taken to give another boost to that form. His main rivals on form are also switching from turf to AW and Barricado looks the most interesting one.
This is one of those races where near market rival is a non runner, surely making Khateeb’s chances a little more straightforward. Alas his price reflects this and this could be a good back to lay off in running for me. The horse doesn’t have to win, just run well enough for the price to become tradeable. When we’re backing, we must look to lay at a lower price in running
345 WARWICK
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Stevie Thunder, 13/2 The Jostler, 8/1 Ninefineirishmen, Premier Danseur, 12/1 Afram Blue, Miss Mujanna, 14/1 Romany Princess, 16/1 Clifton Dancer, Dancing Marabout, Semah Harold, 20/1 Indian Diva, Ten Pole Tudor, 25/1 Gross Prophet, Shamrock Lady
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Despite the worry about whether this fourth race in about a month will prove too much, STEVIE THUNDER remains the one to beat on form. Others to consider are The Jostler and Ninefineirishmen
No winning sequence as yet with Stevie Thunder – 11/10 – – – 8/1 – the price gap has increased in the live market – 11/14 tips – top RPR – 4 days since previous run –
NEGATIVE – “so many quick races” but it is a short distance. looks nailed on to place and worry is the big field.
FOOTY
Interesting match today – another MUST WIN for Chelsea against NEwcastle side which has gained in confidence. I’ll take Chelsea to win and maybe a DRAW/CHELSEA and NEWCASTLE/CHELSEA bet will give us big odds (break even on Chelsea/Chelsea?)
SNOOKER – I backed Ronny to win at 7/2 pre tournament so this bet is now tradeable by laying off my stake at 1.04 or backing Ali Carter at 25 to “green up”