Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Thursday 5th March 2015

Each way betting – a background How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd . By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour. Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus. 1) we select only from 8/9 runner races 2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection .

A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place. 3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

This is the background behind the selections you will find here. Make sure you check the place onlyterms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

I left you with a couple of winners and a couple of placers , one at 20/1 on the 14th November.

I will leave out results today as time is short.

Yesterday

440 catterick Betting forecast: 7/4 Sportingfriendship, 11/4 Cave Hunter, 11/2 Talkin Thomas, 7/1 Soleil D´avril, 10/1 Forge Valley, 12/1 Best Served Cold, 20/1 Slick Operator, 25/1 Beau Traveller, 50/1 Newspage.
usual Talkin Thomas ur 7.4
speculative Forge Valley – 4th 19.17
250 down Betting forecast: 4/7 Emcon, 6/1 Antilope Du Seuil, 7/1 Dark Sunshine, 8/1 Autumn Shades, 10/1 Iamtoldiamgrand, 16/1 Kanjo, 25/1 Classic Palace, 33/1 Mavesford Bridge, 50/1 Whats In The Box.
usual Dark Sunshine  – 6th 4.5
speculative Iamtoldiamgrand – 5th 8.11
500 lingfield Betting forecast: 5/2 Sabre Rock, 9/2 Apache Glory, 9/2 Hector´s Chance, 6/1 Rain God, 7/1 Bobby Benton, 7/1 Lady Lunchalot, 12/1 Ze King, 16/1 Isabella Liberty.
usual Rain God  – 8th 17.82
speculative Ze King – 4th 7

Today

435 clonmel Betting forecast: Evs Horse No Name, 3/1 Leighinmohr, 5/1 Dawerann, 14/1 Positive Approach, 14/1 Stonehall Jack, 16/1 Deep Inspiration, 20/1 Dfordarsi, 50/1 Strange Ways.
usual Dawerann  – 2nd 7 win and 2.05 place
speculative Stonehall Jack  – faller 10.66
320 sthl Betting forecast: 13/8 Martiniquaise, 4/1 Kachou, 5/1 Boolass, 6/1 Capatosta, 6/1 Thermal Column, 7/1 Cocker, 40/1 Fairy Pools, 150/1 Misu Mac.
usual Boolass  – 2nd 5.89 win and 1.54 place
speculative Cocker – 6th 22.51
455 shtl Betting forecast: 6/4 Sleet, 2/1 Fairy Wing, 7/1 Doctor Hilary, 8/1 Steel City Boy, 9/1 Run Fat Lass Run, 16/1 The Boss Of Me, 33/1 Benidorm, 40/1 Basle.
usual Doctor hilary  – 3rd 20.8 win and 2.76 place
speculative Run fat lass run -1st 6 win and 1.69 place

Anyone doing each way doubles on the usual selections would be delighted .