Elnawin won yesterday and perhaps I’m being too cautious? It was a decent price gap.
More than made up for though if you took my advice and backed Lithuania at a massive 11/1! 3-0!
210 FONTWELL
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Woolfall Treasure, 11/2 Crimson Mitre, 7/1 Ostinata, 8/1 Highland Laddie, 10/1 Colorado Blue, 14/1 Days Of Pleasure, 16/1 Persistent, What´s For Tea, 20/1 Just Mossie, 25/1 Whatalotofbuts, 33/1 Rock Me, Waarid, 50/1 Age Of Miracles.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: WOOLFALL TREASURE, who has performed with credit in some useful handicaps on the Flat this year, is potentially a decent recruit to the juvenile division and he’s taken to make a winning debut. Crimson Mitre is the most appealing of those with experience
Big price gap, but no form in this sphere for a number of these jumps recruits.
240
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Cavallini, 4/1 Haddaaf, 11/2 Maslak, 8/1 Darfen, 9/1 Carmond, 14/1 Mystic Storm, 16/1 Seyaadi, 20/1 Northern Spy, Petroglyph, Silver Blue, 66/1 Panadin, 100/1 Homeleighwildchild.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: CAVALLINI (nap) has been unlucky to bump into a couple of above-average rivals in two runs over hurdles this summer and this looks a good opportunity for him to score a well deserved success. Maslak and Haddaaf are the chief dangers
Another price gap, not as dominant as I would like though. Positives – at least 5 outsiders, who, if running as outsiders will reduce the number of horses Cavallini will have to beat to place only
210 LEOPARDSTOWN
BETTING FORECAST: 8/11 Famous Name, 11/2 Mr Medici, 6/1 Prima Luce, 7/1 The Bogberry, 10/1 Arch Rebel, Sail, 14/1 Superius, 20/1 King Of Westphalia.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: FAMOUS NAME will be hard to beat. Having started the season with an emphatic victory over Moiqen in a Guineas trial at this venue, the Dansili colt established himself as a very smart middle-distance performer when keeping on well for second behind Vision D’Etat in the Prix du Jockey-Club at Chantilly. He won a maiden on soft ground last season, and gives the impression of being a type who could prosper during an autumn campaign.\n
I normally swerve Ireland for price gappers as it is a reknowned graveyard for short priced favs
Positives – the words “hard to beat”
Negatives – faces at least 2 Aiden O’Brien horses and also yielding ground which I suppose translates as “softer than I would like!” The rain in Ireland has been relentless so this must be accounted for in my betting activities actually living here and witnessing the resultant flooding around the Dublin area
350
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 New Approach, 11/8 Duke Of Marmalade, 10/1 King Of Rome, 12/1 Multidimensional, 20/1 Mores Wells, 33/1 Lord Admiral, 50/1 Red Rock Canyon, 66/1 Traffic Guard, 100/1 She´s Our Mark.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The heavy rain has tilted the balance away from Duke Of Marmalade in favour of NEW APPROACH in this rematch of the Juddmonte in which the Derby winner was not seen at his best. In the prevailing going Multidimensional could make his presence felt, but Jim Bolger’s colt gets the vote.
Mouth watering stuff and, again, this looks a decent chance for a place only bet , BUT who to chose? Do I go along with Spotlight’s contention that the advantage is with New Approach?
Personally, I will place back the best backed of the 2 in the live market
I have just noticed perhaps Duke is not running which now leaves place back New Approach!
230 THIRSK
BETTING FORECAST: 15/8 Glan Lady, 6/1 Jessica Mary, 8/1 Nchike, 10/1 Forever´s Girl, 14/1 Future Gem, Ishiquick, Time Loup, Tito Gobbi, 16/1 Dancing Wave, Danderdandan, 20/1 Kneesy Earsy Nosey, Sonett, 25/1 Alibar´s Surprise, Miss Xu Xia, Samba Queen, Senora Verde, 33/1 Staceys Girl, 50/1 Smoke Me A Kipper, 100/1 Willin Dillon.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: John Spearing has won with six of the 18 (33%) he’s run in 2yo races at selling level in recent seasons and GLAN LADY (nap) can improve those stats by winning here after her pleasing debut in better class. Jessica Mary, another dropping in grade after shaping quite well in maidens, may be her main riva
Soft ground, big field, 6 furlongs, 2 year olds and a seller to boot – no thanks
NEw Approach would be my one place back today – we have a new jumps recruit, a 2 year old seller and a horse racing against Aiden O’Brien horses. Famous name would actually be my 2nd choice