Message to Aiden O’Brien – ABOUT FECKING TIME MATE! – What a joy it was to see Hindu Kush win at 25/1 SP ( bigger on BEtfair) – I was beginning to think my following these combos was heading for disaster! It seems Ballydoyle are adopting front running strategies now and just hoping the horses last the distance – clearly evident in the Derby, and clearly evident with hindu Kush who DID last out.
Got the footy spot on pretty much and Mr pullein is obviously right in his assumption about under 2.5 goals in the first round – something to note for sure! Gutted with the post hits from Ronny and Gomes costing me a nice payout for 1st scorer – and I will be Mr Arthur aftertimer here – I was going to mention perhaps backing Pepe to score in the next few Portugeuse matches but the bar steward beat me to it. He was highly effective at corners and going forward ( for a defender!) in yesterday’s match and I thought I’d got myself a nice wager at a later date but now those bookies will be wise!
BETTING FORECAST: 7/2 Councellor, Napoletano, 5/1 Perfect Treasure, 6/1 Desert Dreamer, 13/2 Unlimited, 7/1 Buy On The Red, 8/1 The Jailer, 25/1 Ede´s Dot Com
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: With several in the field who like to get on with things, this ought to be run at a strong gallop and that should ensure that things fall right for NAPOLETANO who won with a bit in hand on his last visit and returned with a good effort at Lingfield on Thursday. Perfect Treasure has not found lack of a recent run hindering her before and may be best of the rest in what looks a tightly knit affair.[
Straight 8 – ” a tight affair” – Buy on the Red and The Jailer each way
225 Roscommon – Soaring emotions
255 – Funatfuntasia
325 – Knowing wink
355 – unwritten rule
Quiet day for me on the horses
Germans take on Poland and an interesting referree – a Mr B Fawlty, who has asked for all involved in the game not to mention the war – he mentioned it once but he thinks he got away with it.
1/2 to beat Poland is indicative of a 1-0 , 2-0 or 2-1 scoreline.
Germany Germany and draw/Germany is dutchable with a slight gain on the former result
Germany clean sheet is enticing at 2.12
HAlf time score – 0-0 at 3.15, 1-0 at 3.8 and 2-0 at 9.2 – level stakes and we load profits on the 2-0 which is a possibility paying out about 6/1
Presumption here that the Polish don’t score
As with portugal yesterday, I will back the germans at 1.55 in the match odds and lay off after (hopefully) they score the first goal.
In the 2nd half match odds market, perhaps lay the draw like yesterday in the hope of a 2nd half goal to no reply. this is an in running market, albeit a probably illiquid one
Croatia were victors over England twice, but does that say more about that twat McClaren ( poor Blackburn Rovers might be lumbered with this fecking eejut)
The double on Germany and Croatia looks enticing and pays about 2.81 with Ladbrokes.
A difficult game to weigh up given the local support the Austrians will have. 5/6 for an away side kind of hints at a tightish game and no gimme for the favs with a hard fought one goal victory and perhaps it is with that that I’ll approach the correst score market – 0-1, 1-1, 1-2, 0-2 are all dutchable to level stakes and again presume the Autrians will not win.
HAlf time\full time Croatia/Croatia is 3.3 which indiates a potential tough match. BAcking this wil Draw/Draw and Draw/Croatia loads profit on the latter 2 and slight profit /break even on Croatia /Croatia